The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 45–50% for the Liga Nacional Guatemala Apertura 2026 runner-up reflects an unusually open race after just seven rounds. Municipal sits atop the table on 16 points but dropped two after a scoreless draw with San Pedro, while Antigua GFC trails by one point with a game in hand and strong recent scoring form. Deportivo San Pedro, Guastatoya, Xelajú MC, and Mixco remain within three points of the leaders, creating a compressed upper half where any result can shift positions. The league’s new playoff format—only six teams advance, with the top two receiving semifinal byes—has intensified the fight for every spot. Traditional powers Comunicaciones and Cobán Imperial sit lower but retain historical depth, while mid-table sides like Marquense, Malacateco, and Aurora show enough consistency to stay in contention over the remaining months. With limited separation and a long regular season ahead, traders price nearly every listed club as having comparable odds of finishing second.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarquense 45%
Mixco 45%
Municipal 45%
San Pedro 45%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Marquense
45%
Mixco
45%
Municipal
45%
San Pedro
45%
Suchitepéquez
45%
Antigua GFC
45%
Aurora FC
45%
Cobán Imperial
45%
Comunicaciones
45%
Guastatoya
45%
Malacateco
45%
Xelajú MC
45%
Marquense 45%
Mixco 45%
Municipal 45%
San Pedro 45%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Marquense
$0 Vol.
45%
Mixco
$0 Vol.
45%
Municipal
$0 Vol.
45%
San Pedro
$0 Vol.
45%
Suchitepéquez
$0 Vol.
45%
Antigua GFC
$0 Vol.
45%
Aurora FC
$0 Vol.
45%
Cobán Imperial
$0 Vol.
45%
Comunicaciones
$0 Vol.
45%
Guastatoya
$0 Vol.
45%
Malacateco
$0 Vol.
45%
Xelajú MC
$0 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for the 2026 season per the rules of Liga Nacional (Guatemala) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Liga Nacional (Guatemala); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 45–50% for the Liga Nacional Guatemala Apertura 2026 runner-up reflects an unusually open race after just seven rounds. Municipal sits atop the table on 16 points but dropped two after a scoreless draw with San Pedro, while Antigua GFC trails by one point with a game in hand and strong recent scoring form. Deportivo San Pedro, Guastatoya, Xelajú MC, and Mixco remain within three points of the leaders, creating a compressed upper half where any result can shift positions. The league’s new playoff format—only six teams advance, with the top two receiving semifinal byes—has intensified the fight for every spot. Traditional powers Comunicaciones and Cobán Imperial sit lower but retain historical depth, while mid-table sides like Marquense, Malacateco, and Aurora show enough consistency to stay in contention over the remaining months. With limited separation and a long regular season ahead, traders price nearly every listed club as having comparable odds of finishing second.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for the 2026 season per the rules of Liga Nacional (Guatemala) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Liga Nacional (Guatemala); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for the 2026 season per the rules of Liga Nacional (Guatemala) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Liga Nacional (Guatemala); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ligagt.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for the 2026 season per the rules of Liga Nacional (Guatemala) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Liga Nacional (Guatemala); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 45–50% for the Liga Nacional Guatemala Apertura 2026 runner-up reflects an unusually open race after just seven rounds. Municipal sits atop the table on 16 points but dropped two after a scoreless draw with San Pedro, while Antigua GFC trails by one point with a game in hand and strong recent scoring form. Deportivo San Pedro, Guastatoya, Xelajú MC, and Mixco remain within three points of the leaders, creating a compressed upper half where any result can shift positions. The league’s new playoff format—only six teams advance, with the top two receiving semifinal byes—has intensified the fight for every spot. Traditional powers Comunicaciones and Cobán Imperial sit lower but retain historical depth, while mid-table sides like Marquense, Malacateco, and Aurora show enough consistency to stay in contention over the remaining months. With limited separation and a long regular season ahead, traders price nearly every listed club as having comparable odds of finishing second.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for the 2026 season per the rules of Liga Nacional (Guatemala) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Liga Nacional (Guatemala); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Liga Nacional (Guatemala) for the 2026 season per the rules of Liga Nacional (Guatemala) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the Liga Nacional (Guatemala); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ligagt.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 45–50% for the Liga Nacional Guatemala Apertura 2026 runner-up reflects an unusually open race after just seven rounds. Municipal sits atop the table on 16 points but dropped two after a scoreless draw with San Pedro, while Antigua GFC trails by one point with a game in hand and strong recent scoring form. Deportivo San Pedro, Guastatoya, Xelajú MC, and Mixco remain within three points of the leaders, creating a compressed upper half where any result can shift positions. The league’s new playoff format—only six teams advance, with the top two receiving semifinal byes—has intensified the fight for every spot. Traditional powers Comunicaciones and Cobán Imperial sit lower but retain historical depth, while mid-table sides like Marquense, Malacateco, and Aurora show enough consistency to stay in contention over the remaining months. With limited separation and a long regular season ahead, traders price nearly every listed club as having comparable odds of finishing second.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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