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icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Carlos Alcaraz 48%

Alexander Zverev 24.6%

Ben Shelton 7.4%

Daniil Medvedev 6.6%

Polymarket

$20,854,202 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz 48%

Alexander Zverev 24.6%

Ben Shelton 7.4%

Daniil Medvedev 6.6%

Polymarket

$20,854,202 Vol.

Carlos Alcaraz

$1,837,645 Vol.

48%

Alexander Zverev

$900,123 Vol.

25%

Ben Shelton

$702,308 Vol.

7%

Daniil Medvedev

$820,712 Vol.

7%

Learner Tien

$418,828 Vol.

4%

Frances Tiafoe

$610,611 Vol.

2%

Alexander Blockx

$297,796 Vol.

1%

Tommy Paul

$353,131 Vol.

1%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

$294,967 Vol.

1%

Alex Michelsen

$313,674 Vol.

1%

Francisco Cerundolo

$254,046 Vol.

1%

Karen Khachanov

$322,024 Vol.

1%

Luciano Darderi

$196,738 Vol.

<1%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$292,074 Vol.

<1%

Casper Ruud

$23,618 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open men's singles market at 47.5% implied probability after Jannik Sinner's right-knee withdrawal removed the top seed and opened a favorable path for the defending champion, who has advanced in straight sets upon returning from his own wrist injury. Alexander Zverev sits at 24.6% thanks to his French Open title, Wimbledon final run, and a cleaner draw that has allowed comfortable progression on hard courts. Ben Shelton (7.4%), Daniil Medvedev (6.6%), and Learner Tien (4.1%) follow as the next tier, supported by strong recent hard-court results and American depth, while several top seeds have already exited amid early upsets. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed roster changes, current form, and bracket dynamics heading into the round of 16.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,854,202
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz leads the 2026 US Open men's singles market at 47.5% implied probability after Jannik Sinner's right-knee withdrawal removed the top seed and opened a favorable path for the defending champion, who has advanced in straight sets upon returning from his own wrist injury. Alexander Zverev sits at 24.6% thanks to his French Open title, Wimbledon final run, and a cleaner draw that has allowed comfortable progression on hard courts. Ben Shelton (7.4%), Daniil Medvedev (6.6%), and Learner Tien (4.1%) follow as the next tier, supported by strong recent hard-court results and American depth, while several top seeds have already exited amid early upsets. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed roster changes, current form, and bracket dynamics heading into the round of 16.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,854,202
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 48+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 48%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $20.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 48+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.