Valve’s deliberate map rotation cadence and absence of any official CS2 patch notes or announcements keep implied probabilities for a Cobblestone addition by late August 2026 extremely low. Recent August 20 updates focused only on community maps like Boulder and Poseidon plus a minor speed fix, with no cbble assets promoted to the active duty pool. Datamined files from January, including winter-themed textures, signal ongoing internal work on a potential remake, yet Valve has historically required extended polishing cycles—Cache returned only in 2026 after similar leaks. Community pressure and nostalgia remain high following Cache’s integration, but FACEIT and pro organizers continue excluding the map without an official release. Any Premier season shift or further file drops could influence trader consensus, though current evidence points to a 2027 window at earliest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDecember 31
7%
October 31
3%
$1,091 Vol.
December 31
7%
October 31
3%
If Cobblestone is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for the relevant market to resolve to "Yes". Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cobblestone is added after the deadline, the relevant market will resolve to "No", even if the addition was announced earlier.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, the "official map pool" refers to the Active Duty map group in Counter-Strike 2 (CS2), which consists of the maps eligible for both competitive matchmaking and professional tournaments.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Cobblestone is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for the relevant market to resolve to "Yes". Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cobblestone is added after the deadline, the relevant market will resolve to "No", even if the addition was announced earlier.
For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series.
For the purpose of this market, the "official map pool" refers to the Active Duty map group in Counter-Strike 2 (CS2), which consists of the maps eligible for both competitive matchmaking and professional tournaments.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Valve’s deliberate map rotation cadence and absence of any official CS2 patch notes or announcements keep implied probabilities for a Cobblestone addition by late August 2026 extremely low. Recent August 20 updates focused only on community maps like Boulder and Poseidon plus a minor speed fix, with no cbble assets promoted to the active duty pool. Datamined files from January, including winter-themed textures, signal ongoing internal work on a potential remake, yet Valve has historically required extended polishing cycles—Cache returned only in 2026 after similar leaks. Community pressure and nostalgia remain high following Cache’s integration, but FACEIT and pro organizers continue excluding the map without an official release. Any Premier season shift or further file drops could influence trader consensus, though current evidence points to a 2027 window at earliest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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