Natus Vincere’s VALORANT roster faces significant uncertainty after missing international events for the third straight year and posting no podium finishes in VCT 2026. Captain chloric and ExiT were cleared in early September to explore restricted free agency as their contracts near year-end expiration, following June changes that removed Filu and added CyvOph. In CS2, the core of b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, and makazze has stabilized post-jL’s summer exit but continues to draw transfer speculation amid inconsistent results and a static playstyle. Dota 2 instability, including the quick departure of DkPhobos, adds to organizational flux. These performance shortfalls and expiring deals underpin the 59% implied probability traders assign to at least one roster adjustment by December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated41% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
41% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Natus Vincere’s VALORANT roster faces significant uncertainty after missing international events for the third straight year and posting no podium finishes in VCT 2026. Captain chloric and ExiT were cleared in early September to explore restricted free agency as their contracts near year-end expiration, following June changes that removed Filu and added CyvOph. In CS2, the core of b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, and makazze has stabilized post-jL’s summer exit but continues to draw transfer speculation amid inconsistent results and a static playstyle. Dota 2 instability, including the quick departure of DkPhobos, adds to organizational flux. These performance shortfalls and expiring deals underpin the 59% implied probability traders assign to at least one roster adjustment by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
Volume
$414End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 8:17 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBoxResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Natus Vincere’s VALORANT roster faces significant uncertainty after missing international events for the third straight year and posting no podium finishes in VCT 2026. Captain chloric and ExiT were cleared in early September to explore restricted free agency as their contracts near year-end expiration, following June changes that removed Filu and added CyvOph. In CS2, the core of b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, and makazze has stabilized post-jL’s summer exit but continues to draw transfer speculation amid inconsistent results and a static playstyle. Dota 2 instability, including the quick departure of DkPhobos, adds to organizational flux. These performance shortfalls and expiring deals underpin the 59% implied probability traders assign to at least one roster adjustment by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.
"Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.
Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.
The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$414End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 8:17 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBoxResolver
0x65070BE91...Natus Vincere’s VALORANT roster faces significant uncertainty after missing international events for the third straight year and posting no podium finishes in VCT 2026. Captain chloric and ExiT were cleared in early September to explore restricted free agency as their contracts near year-end expiration, following June changes that removed Filu and added CyvOph. In CS2, the core of b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, and makazze has stabilized post-jL’s summer exit but continues to draw transfer speculation amid inconsistent results and a static playstyle. Dota 2 instability, including the quick departure of DkPhobos, adds to organizational flux. These performance shortfalls and expiring deals underpin the 59% implied probability traders assign to at least one roster adjustment by December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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