Lacy and Marlon have transitioned into the Minecraft Hardcore leg of their September 2026 marathon after clearing Warzone and Fortnite in roughly 25 hours on a single no-restart stream. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to the creeper as the eliminator, driven by its elevated spawn frequency in standard biomes and the duo’s documented history of creeper deaths across prior endurance runs. Skeleton follows as a secondary option due to ranged pressure in open terrain, while zombies, blazes, and other mobs trail amid expectations of routine hostile encounters. Marathon fatigue, limited recent Hardcore practice, and coordination demands under extended play increase variance in death timing without shifting core mob probabilities. Resolution hinges on official broadcast death messages confirming the responsible mob.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$38,305 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
Creeper (again)
73%
Zombie
38%
Blaze
14%
Skeleton (again)
56%
Spider
17%
Enderman
20%
Wither Skeleton
17%
Zombified Piglin
10%
Ender Dragon
25%
Pillager
5%
Vex
10%
$38,305 Vol.
Creeper (again)
$5,095 Vol.
73%
Zombie
$4,507 Vol.
38%
Blaze
$849 Vol.
14%
Skeleton (again)
$1,007 Vol.
56%
Spider
$2,429 Vol.
17%
Enderman
$2,234 Vol.
20%
Wither Skeleton
$2,306 Vol.
17%
Zombified Piglin
$7,091 Vol.
10%
Ender Dragon
$1,227 Vol.
25%
Pillager
$1,207 Vol.
5%
Vex
$933 Vol.
10%
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for either Lacy or Marlon following an in-game Minecraft death between market creation and the end of the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. The exact mob name must appear; a death message naming a different mob whose name contains the specified mob's name will not count. For example, an in-game death to a Wither Skeleton will not resolve "Skeleton" to "Yes," and an in-game death to a Cave Spider will not resolve "Spider" to "Yes."
An in-game death seeming to be caused by the specified mob will not count if the mob's name does not appear in the death message.
A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count.
Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by either player. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death.
An in-game death occurring on either Lacy's or Marlon's stream will count. Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve to "No." If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts of Lacy and Marlon.Lacy and Marlon have transitioned into the Minecraft Hardcore leg of their September 2026 marathon after clearing Warzone and Fortnite in roughly 25 hours on a single no-restart stream. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to the creeper as the eliminator, driven by its elevated spawn frequency in standard biomes and the duo’s documented history of creeper deaths across prior endurance runs. Skeleton follows as a secondary option due to ranged pressure in open terrain, while zombies, blazes, and other mobs trail amid expectations of routine hostile encounters. Marathon fatigue, limited recent Hardcore practice, and coordination demands under extended play increase variance in death timing without shifting core mob probabilities. Resolution hinges on official broadcast death messages confirming the responsible mob.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for either Lacy or Marlon following an in-game Minecraft death between market creation and the end of the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. The exact mob name must appear; a death message naming a different mob whose name contains the specified mob's name will not count. For example, an in-game death to a Wither Skeleton will not resolve "Skeleton" to "Yes," and an in-game death to a Cave Spider will not resolve "Spider" to "Yes."
An in-game death seeming to be caused by the specified mob will not count if the mob's name does not appear in the death message.
A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count.
Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by either player. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death.
An in-game death occurring on either Lacy's or Marlon's stream will count. Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve to "No." If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts of Lacy and Marlon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for either Lacy or Marlon following an in-game Minecraft death between market creation and the end of the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. The exact mob name must appear; a death message naming a different mob whose name contains the specified mob's name will not count. For example, an in-game death to a Wither Skeleton will not resolve "Skeleton" to "Yes," and an in-game death to a Cave Spider will not resolve "Spider" to "Yes."
An in-game death seeming to be caused by the specified mob will not count if the mob's name does not appear in the death message.
A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count.
Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by either player. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death.
An in-game death occurring on either Lacy's or Marlon's stream will count. Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve to "No." If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts of Lacy and Marlon.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
Volume
$38,305End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x65070BE91...Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for either Lacy or Marlon following an in-game Minecraft death between market creation and the end of the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. The exact mob name must appear; a death message naming a different mob whose name contains the specified mob's name will not count. For example, an in-game death to a Wither Skeleton will not resolve "Skeleton" to "Yes," and an in-game death to a Cave Spider will not resolve "Spider" to "Yes."
An in-game death seeming to be caused by the specified mob will not count if the mob's name does not appear in the death message.
A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count.
Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by either player. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death.
An in-game death occurring on either Lacy's or Marlon's stream will count. Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve to "No." If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts of Lacy and Marlon.Lacy and Marlon have transitioned into the Minecraft Hardcore leg of their September 2026 marathon after clearing Warzone and Fortnite in roughly 25 hours on a single no-restart stream. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to the creeper as the eliminator, driven by its elevated spawn frequency in standard biomes and the duo’s documented history of creeper deaths across prior endurance runs. Skeleton follows as a secondary option due to ranged pressure in open terrain, while zombies, blazes, and other mobs trail amid expectations of routine hostile encounters. Marathon fatigue, limited recent Hardcore practice, and coordination demands under extended play increase variance in death timing without shifting core mob probabilities. Resolution hinges on official broadcast death messages confirming the responsible mob.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for either Lacy or Marlon following an in-game Minecraft death between market creation and the end of the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. The exact mob name must appear; a death message naming a different mob whose name contains the specified mob's name will not count. For example, an in-game death to a Wither Skeleton will not resolve "Skeleton" to "Yes," and an in-game death to a Cave Spider will not resolve "Spider" to "Yes."
An in-game death seeming to be caused by the specified mob will not count if the mob's name does not appear in the death message.
A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count.
Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by either player. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death.
An in-game death occurring on either Lacy's or Marlon's stream will count. Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve to "No." If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts of Lacy and Marlon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for either Lacy or Marlon following an in-game Minecraft death between market creation and the end of the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. The exact mob name must appear; a death message naming a different mob whose name contains the specified mob's name will not count. For example, an in-game death to a Wither Skeleton will not resolve "Skeleton" to "Yes," and an in-game death to a Cave Spider will not resolve "Spider" to "Yes."
An in-game death seeming to be caused by the specified mob will not count if the mob's name does not appear in the death message.
A death message produced by any means other than an actual in-game death, including chat messages, overlays, or messages triggered by commands, will not count.
Only one qualifying in-game death is required, and it may be by either player. This market will resolve to "Yes" immediately upon a qualifying in-game death.
An in-game death occurring on either Lacy's or Marlon's stream will count. Only in-game deaths occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve to "No." If a qualifying death has not occurred since market creation and the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts of Lacy and Marlon.
Volume
$38,305End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x65070BE91...Lacy and Marlon have transitioned into the Minecraft Hardcore leg of their September 2026 marathon after clearing Warzone and Fortnite in roughly 25 hours on a single no-restart stream. Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to the creeper as the eliminator, driven by its elevated spawn frequency in standard biomes and the duo’s documented history of creeper deaths across prior endurance runs. Skeleton follows as a secondary option due to ranged pressure in open terrain, while zombies, blazes, and other mobs trail amid expectations of routine hostile encounters. Marathon fatigue, limited recent Hardcore practice, and coordination demands under extended play increase variance in death timing without shifting core mob probabilities. Resolution hinges on official broadcast death messages confirming the responsible mob.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions