Will the next elected US president be a woman?

38% chance

$13,757 Vol.

Nov 6, 2028

38% chance

$13,757 Vol.

Nov 6, 2028

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Volume

$13,757

End Date

Nov 7, 2028

Market Opened

Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Volume

$13,757

End Date

Nov 7, 2028

Market Opened

Feb 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

25%

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the next elected US president be a woman?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 38% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 38¢, the market collectively assigns a 38% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the next elected US president be a woman?" has generated $13.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the next elected US president be a woman?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will the next elected US president be a woman?" is 38% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 38% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will the next elected US president be a woman?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Will the next elected US president be a woman?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $13.8K traded on “Will the next elected US president be a woman?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Will the next elected US president be a woman?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of "Yes" or "No" represents the market's implied probability. A "Yes" price of 38¢ for "Will the next elected US president be a woman?" means traders collectively believe there is a 38% chance this event will happen. If you buy "Yes" at 38¢ and the event does happen, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 62¢ per share. If the event doesn't happen, those shares are worth $0.

The "Will the next elected US president be a woman?" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Nov 6, 2028 — that's roughly over 2 years away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

The "Will the next elected US president be a woman?" market has a growing discussion of 3 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Will the next elected US president be a woman?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

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Frequently Asked Questions

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Order Book

Order Book

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

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Comments (3)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Will the next elected US president be a woman?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Will the next elected US president be a woman?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Will the next elected US president be a woman?"?

What are the current odds for "Will the next elected US president be a woman?"?

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Why are Polymarket's odds for "Will the next elected US president be a woman?" considered reliable?

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What does a price of 38¢ for "Yes" mean?

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