The recent collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 91.5% market-implied odds against any acquisition this year. PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid regulatory and financing concerns, prompting the consortium to walk away after months of talks that began in April. PayPal’s new leadership under CEO Enrique Lores has advanced a turnaround via reorganization and cost cuts, with recent earnings supporting an independent path and shares recovering from pandemic-era lows. While a revived higher bid or targeted asset purchase remains possible, the valuation standoff, limited remaining calendar time, and PayPal’s improving standalone metrics make a completed transaction in 2026 highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated9% chance
$83,397 Vol.
$83,397 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
9% chance
$83,397 Vol.
$83,397 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 91.5% market-implied odds against any acquisition this year. PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid regulatory and financing concerns, prompting the consortium to walk away after months of talks that began in April. PayPal’s new leadership under CEO Enrique Lores has advanced a turnaround via reorganization and cost cuts, with recent earnings supporting an independent path and shares recovering from pandemic-era lows. While a revived higher bid or targeted asset purchase remains possible, the valuation standoff, limited remaining calendar time, and PayPal’s improving standalone metrics make a completed transaction in 2026 highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$83,397End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The recent collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 91.5% market-implied odds against any acquisition this year. PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid regulatory and financing concerns, prompting the consortium to walk away after months of talks that began in April. PayPal’s new leadership under CEO Enrique Lores has advanced a turnaround via reorganization and cost cuts, with recent earnings supporting an independent path and shares recovering from pandemic-era lows. While a revived higher bid or targeted asset purchase remains possible, the valuation standoff, limited remaining calendar time, and PayPal’s improving standalone metrics make a completed transaction in 2026 highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$83,397End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Feb 24, 2026, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The recent collapse of Stripe and Advent International’s $53 billion bid for PayPal in late August 2026 underpins the 91.5% market-implied odds against any acquisition this year. PayPal’s board rejected the $60.50-per-share offer as undervaluing the company amid regulatory and financing concerns, prompting the consortium to walk away after months of talks that began in April. PayPal’s new leadership under CEO Enrique Lores has advanced a turnaround via reorganization and cost cuts, with recent earnings supporting an independent path and shares recovering from pandemic-era lows. While a revived higher bid or targeted asset purchase remains possible, the valuation standoff, limited remaining calendar time, and PayPal’s improving standalone metrics make a completed transaction in 2026 highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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