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icon for Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Alexandre Pantoja 51%

Joshua Van 48%

Manel Kape 2.6%

Tim Elliott <1%

Polymarket

$1,183,193 Vol.

Alexandre Pantoja 51%

Joshua Van 48%

Manel Kape 2.6%

Tim Elliott <1%

Polymarket

$1,183,193 Vol.

Alexandre Pantoja

$9,860 Vol.

51%

Joshua Van

$6,858 Vol.

48%

Manel Kape

$3,901 Vol.

3%

Tim Elliott

$306,074 Vol.

<1%

Amir Albazi

$790,005 Vol.

<1%

Asu Almabayev

$58,809 Vol.

<1%

Tatsuro Taira

$1,849 Vol.

<1%

Kyoji Horiguchi

$1,470 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Moreno

$1,426 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Royval

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

Steve Erceg

$1,752 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).The tight market between Alexandre Pantoja and Joshua Van stems primarily from their scheduled flyweight title rematch at UFC 331 on September 19. Van captured the belt from Pantoja via first-round injury TKO in December 2025 and followed with a dramatic fifth-round stoppage of Tatsuro Taira in May 2026, establishing himself as a durable young champion with strong finishing power. Pantoja, however, brings unmatched experience, a proven record of multiple successful defenses, and motivation for redemption in what shapes up as a high-stakes stylistic clash. With the division’s other ranked contenders several steps removed from title contention, traders view the immediate outcome as the decisive near-term swing factor for year-end championship odds.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$1,183,193
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).The tight market between Alexandre Pantoja and Joshua Van stems primarily from their scheduled flyweight title rematch at UFC 331 on September 19. Van captured the belt from Pantoja via first-round injury TKO in December 2025 and followed with a dramatic fifth-round stoppage of Tatsuro Taira in May 2026, establishing himself as a durable young champion with strong finishing power. Pantoja, however, brings unmatched experience, a proven record of multiple successful defenses, and motivation for redemption in what shapes up as a high-stakes stylistic clash. With the division’s other ranked contenders several steps removed from title contention, traders view the immediate outcome as the decisive near-term swing factor for year-end championship odds.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$1,183,193
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 51%, followed by "Joshua Van" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joshua Van" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.