Gold prices hover near $4,430–$4,526 per ounce in early September 2026 after correcting from January highs above $5,500, pressured by hawkish Federal Reserve signals under Chair Kevin Warsh and elevated real Treasury yields. Persistent inflation readings, including May PCE at 4.1% year-over-year and accelerating six-month trends, have kept September rate-hike odds near 50–60% on CME FedWatch, raising the opportunity cost for non-yielding gold and supporting a firmer dollar. Central bank purchases remain a structural floor, though moderating, while geopolitical tensions tied to Iran and oil prices add mixed safe-haven bids. Traders now focus on the September 11 CPI release and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting for clarity on whether yields ease enough to support a retest of higher levels or extend consolidation around current ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$74,010 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
↑ $5,300
2%
↑ $5,200
2%
↑ $5,100
5%
↑ $5,000
8%
↑ $4,900
12%
↑ $4,800
20%
↑ $4,700
35%
↑ $4,600
56%
↑ $4,500
80%
↓ $4,400
90%
↓ $4,300
60%
↓ $4,200
37%
↓ $4,100
22%
↓ $4,000
12%
↓ $3,900
4%
↓ $3,800
2%
$74,010 Vol.
↑ $5,300
$2,129 Vol.
2%
↑ $5,200
$3,143 Vol.
2%
↑ $5,100
$2,307 Vol.
5%
↑ $5,000
$2,756 Vol.
8%
↑ $4,900
$1,992 Vol.
12%
↑ $4,800
$1,822 Vol.
20%
↑ $4,700
$4,249 Vol.
35%
↑ $4,600
$2,126 Vol.
56%
↑ $4,500
$580 Vol.
80%
↓ $4,400
$1,201 Vol.
90%
↓ $4,300
$1,810 Vol.
60%
↓ $4,200
$5,179 Vol.
37%
↓ $4,100
$5,712 Vol.
22%
↓ $4,000
$10,314 Vol.
12%
↓ $3,900
$5,472 Vol.
4%
↓ $3,800
$2,004 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold prices hover near $4,430–$4,526 per ounce in early September 2026 after correcting from January highs above $5,500, pressured by hawkish Federal Reserve signals under Chair Kevin Warsh and elevated real Treasury yields. Persistent inflation readings, including May PCE at 4.1% year-over-year and accelerating six-month trends, have kept September rate-hike odds near 50–60% on CME FedWatch, raising the opportunity cost for non-yielding gold and supporting a firmer dollar. Central bank purchases remain a structural floor, though moderating, while geopolitical tensions tied to Iran and oil prices add mixed safe-haven bids. Traders now focus on the September 11 CPI release and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting for clarity on whether yields ease enough to support a retest of higher levels or extend consolidation around current ranges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$74,010End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold prices hover near $4,430–$4,526 per ounce in early September 2026 after correcting from January highs above $5,500, pressured by hawkish Federal Reserve signals under Chair Kevin Warsh and elevated real Treasury yields. Persistent inflation readings, including May PCE at 4.1% year-over-year and accelerating six-month trends, have kept September rate-hike odds near 50–60% on CME FedWatch, raising the opportunity cost for non-yielding gold and supporting a firmer dollar. Central bank purchases remain a structural floor, though moderating, while geopolitical tensions tied to Iran and oil prices add mixed safe-haven bids. Traders now focus on the September 11 CPI release and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting for clarity on whether yields ease enough to support a retest of higher levels or extend consolidation around current ranges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$74,010End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices hover near $4,430–$4,526 per ounce in early September 2026 after correcting from January highs above $5,500, pressured by hawkish Federal Reserve signals under Chair Kevin Warsh and elevated real Treasury yields. Persistent inflation readings, including May PCE at 4.1% year-over-year and accelerating six-month trends, have kept September rate-hike odds near 50–60% on CME FedWatch, raising the opportunity cost for non-yielding gold and supporting a firmer dollar. Central bank purchases remain a structural floor, though moderating, while geopolitical tensions tied to Iran and oil prices add mixed safe-haven bids. Traders now focus on the September 11 CPI release and the September 15–16 FOMC meeting for clarity on whether yields ease enough to support a retest of higher levels or extend consolidation around current ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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