Microsoft’s robust fiscal 2026 results, including 18% revenue growth to $331.8 billion and Azure expansion exceeding 40% year-over-year, continue to anchor trader views on near-term share price levels amid heavy AI infrastructure spending. Elevated capital expenditures near $175–190 billion for calendar 2026 have pressured free cash flow and contributed to earlier volatility, yet commercial remaining performance obligations reached $678 billion, signaling sustained demand. The September 3 segment realignment into Agents and Infrastructure plus Devices and Consumer underscores management’s AI pivot, while Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $89.85–90.95 billion and analyst price targets clustering near $560–600 provide additional context. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside broader tech sentiment and upcoming economic data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 30, 2026
↑ $600
1%
↑ $585
3%
↑ $570
7%
↑ $555
12%
↑ $540
23%
↑ $525
47%
↑ $510
79%
↓ $495
85%
↓ $480
44%
↓ $465
24%
↓ $450
11%
↓ $435
3%
↓ $420
4%
↓ $405
3%
↓ $390
4%
$7,343 Vol.
↑ $600
$260 Vol.
1%
↑ $585
$0 Vol.
3%
↑ $570
$489 Vol.
7%
↑ $555
$321 Vol.
12%
↑ $540
$545 Vol.
23%
↑ $525
$819 Vol.
47%
↑ $510
$288 Vol.
79%
↓ $495
$475 Vol.
85%
↓ $480
$814 Vol.
44%
↓ $465
$589 Vol.
24%
↓ $450
$826 Vol.
11%
↓ $435
$190 Vol.
3%
↓ $420
$21 Vol.
4%
↓ $405
$610 Vol.
3%
↓ $390
$20 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Microsoft’s robust fiscal 2026 results, including 18% revenue growth to $331.8 billion and Azure expansion exceeding 40% year-over-year, continue to anchor trader views on near-term share price levels amid heavy AI infrastructure spending. Elevated capital expenditures near $175–190 billion for calendar 2026 have pressured free cash flow and contributed to earlier volatility, yet commercial remaining performance obligations reached $678 billion, signaling sustained demand. The September 3 segment realignment into Agents and Infrastructure plus Devices and Consumer underscores management’s AI pivot, while Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $89.85–90.95 billion and analyst price targets clustering near $560–600 provide additional context. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside broader tech sentiment and upcoming economic data releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:42 PM ET
Volume
$7,343End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:42 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Microsoft’s robust fiscal 2026 results, including 18% revenue growth to $331.8 billion and Azure expansion exceeding 40% year-over-year, continue to anchor trader views on near-term share price levels amid heavy AI infrastructure spending. Elevated capital expenditures near $175–190 billion for calendar 2026 have pressured free cash flow and contributed to earlier volatility, yet commercial remaining performance obligations reached $678 billion, signaling sustained demand. The September 3 segment realignment into Agents and Infrastructure plus Devices and Consumer underscores management’s AI pivot, while Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $89.85–90.95 billion and analyst price targets clustering near $560–600 provide additional context. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside broader tech sentiment and upcoming economic data releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$7,343End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:42 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft’s robust fiscal 2026 results, including 18% revenue growth to $331.8 billion and Azure expansion exceeding 40% year-over-year, continue to anchor trader views on near-term share price levels amid heavy AI infrastructure spending. Elevated capital expenditures near $175–190 billion for calendar 2026 have pressured free cash flow and contributed to earlier volatility, yet commercial remaining performance obligations reached $678 billion, signaling sustained demand. The September 3 segment realignment into Agents and Infrastructure plus Devices and Consumer underscores management’s AI pivot, while Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $89.85–90.95 billion and analyst price targets clustering near $560–600 provide additional context. Market-implied odds reflect these fundamentals alongside broader tech sentiment and upcoming economic data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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