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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)

$24,251 Vol.

Sep 11, 2026
Polymarket

$24,251 Vol.

Polymarket

Aryna Sabalenka

$894 Vol.

45%

Coco Gauff

$1,203 Vol.

30%

Iga Swiatek

$371 Vol.

26%

Jessica Pegula

$816 Vol.

21%

Mirra Andreeva

$809 Vol.

14%

Elena Rybakina

$737 Vol.

13%

Naomi Osaka

$271 Vol.

10%

Marta Kostyuk

$149 Vol.

10%

Iva Jovic

$20 Vol.

6%

Linda Noskova

$176 Vol.

6%

Anna Kalinskaya

$8 Vol.

5%

Emma Navarro

$8 Vol.

4%

Anastasia Potapova

$1,273 Vol.

3%

Sorana Cirstea

$118 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka, the two-time defending champion and top seed, enters the round of 16 with commanding momentum after dropping just three break points across her opening matches and maintaining a dominant hard-court record. Trader consensus reflects her favored path to the final, supported by consistent recent form and a favorable early draw. Coco Gauff carries strong hard-court momentum from her Cincinnati title and remains a primary contender, while Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula hold solid but secondary positioning amid mixed recent results. Mirra Andreeva, Elena Rybakina, and Naomi Osaka feature as realistic upset threats with quarterfinal potential, though head-to-head trends and current form favor the top group. Round-of-16 outcomes on September 6-7, including Sabalenka versus Townsend and Pegula versus Cirstea, will sharply influence finalist probabilities as the bracket narrows toward semifinals on September 11.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,251
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka, the two-time defending champion and top seed, enters the round of 16 with commanding momentum after dropping just three break points across her opening matches and maintaining a dominant hard-court record. Trader consensus reflects her favored path to the final, supported by consistent recent form and a favorable early draw. Coco Gauff carries strong hard-court momentum from her Cincinnati title and remains a primary contender, while Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula hold solid but secondary positioning amid mixed recent results. Mirra Andreeva, Elena Rybakina, and Naomi Osaka feature as realistic upset threats with quarterfinal potential, though head-to-head trends and current form favor the top group. Round-of-16 outcomes on September 6-7, including Sabalenka versus Townsend and Pegula versus Cirstea, will sharply influence finalist probabilities as the bracket narrows toward semifinals on September 11.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$24,251
End Date
Sep 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 46%, followed by "Coco Gauff" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)" has generated $24.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Coco Gauff" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach the Final (Women's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.