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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)
Sports·ATP

US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)

$42,171 Vol.

Sep 9, 2026
Polymarket

$42,171 Vol.

Polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz

$14,716 Vol.

83%

Ben Shelton

$6,490 Vol.

69%

Alexander Blockx

$163 Vol.

60%

Daniil Medvedev

$343 Vol.

59%

Frances Tiafoe

$46 Vol.

42%

Francisco Cerundolo

$202 Vol.

40%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$82 Vol.

27%

Tommy Paul

$20 Vol.

16%

Luciano Darderi

$62 Vol.

13%

Alexander Zverev

$607 Vol.

45%

Learner Tien

$5 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The 2026 US Open men's singles reaches the round of 16 on September 6, with defending champion Carlos Alcaraz (returning from a four-month wrist injury layoff) facing American Tommy Paul, while top seed Alexander Zverev continues after early five-set tests and Ben Shelton meets Stefanos Tsitsipas.** Jannik Sinner's pre-tournament withdrawal with a right knee injury has reordered the bracket and boosted Alcaraz's implied probability as the clear favorite despite limited recent match play. Third-round upsets, including Francisco Cerundolo eliminating Taylor Fritz and Learner Tien advancing, have thinned the field and highlighted depth among lower seeds and Americans. Late-summer hard-court form, five-set endurance on DecoTurf/Laykold surfaces, and rest advantages in the second week now shape trader consensus on quarterfinal advancement probabilities, with fitness concerns and draw positioning remaining key variables.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,171
End Date
Sep 9, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**The 2026 US Open men's singles reaches the round of 16 on September 6, with defending champion Carlos Alcaraz (returning from a four-month wrist injury layoff) facing American Tommy Paul, while top seed Alexander Zverev continues after early five-set tests and Ben Shelton meets Stefanos Tsitsipas.** Jannik Sinner's pre-tournament withdrawal with a right knee injury has reordered the bracket and boosted Alcaraz's implied probability as the clear favorite despite limited recent match play. Third-round upsets, including Francisco Cerundolo eliminating Taylor Fritz and Learner Tien advancing, have thinned the field and highlighted depth among lower seeds and Americans. Late-summer hard-court form, five-set endurance on DecoTurf/Laykold surfaces, and rest advantages in the second week now shape trader consensus on quarterfinal advancement probabilities, with fitness concerns and draw positioning remaining key variables.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Quarterfinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Quarterfinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,171
End Date
Sep 9, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 83%, followed by "Ben Shelton" at 69%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)" has generated $42.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ben Shelton" at 69%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Quarterfinals (Men's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.