The Randy Moss record of 23 receiving touchdowns from the 2007 season remains the benchmark, with no player exceeding 18 in any campaign since and recent league leaders typically finishing in the mid-teens. For the 2026 season, consensus projections place top wide receivers such as Ja'Marr Chase, Davante Adams, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Puka Nacua in the 9–11 touchdown range across a full 17-game schedule, reflecting balanced target distributions, improved defensive schemes, and the rarity of sustained red-zone dominance. This near-even market pricing captures the competitive tension between expanded passing volume in modern offenses and the historical barriers that have kept the record intact for nearly two decades. A combination of an elite quarterback-receiver connection, minimal injuries, favorable schedule, and outlier efficiency in the end zone could elevate one candidate into contention, while typical regression or shared opportunities would reinforce the status quo.