Oura’s September 3 S-1 filing, disclosing $1.21 billion in revenue for the nine months ended June 30—up 74% year-over-year with 5 million paid members and 85% retention—anchors trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization in the $15–20 billion range. Hardware sales of $974 million drove most of the top line while membership revenue rose 121% to $240.5 million at 89% gross margins, supporting a shift toward higher-margin recurring revenue. The filing follows a $900 million Series E at an $11 billion valuation in October 2025 and aligns with reports targeting a September Nasdaq debut (ticker OURA) that could raise up to $3 billion above $16 billion. Closely matched probabilities across the $15–17.5 billion (30.5%), $17.5–20 billion (30.0%), and $20 billion-plus (28.5%) brackets reflect uncertainty over pricing relative to private marks, secondary share sales, and execution risks including ongoing litigation over sleep-tracking accuracy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15B–$17.5B 31%
$17.5B–$20B 30%
$20B+ 28%
$12.5B–$15B 12%
$395,819 Vol.
$395,819 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$7.5B
<1%
$7.5B–$10B
2%
$10B–$12.5B
1%
$12.5B–$15B
12%
$15B–$17.5B
31%
$17.5B–$20B
30%
$20B+
28%
No IPO before January 2027
1%
$15B–$17.5B 31%
$17.5B–$20B 30%
$20B+ 28%
$12.5B–$15B 12%
$395,819 Vol.
$395,819 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$7.5B
$58,053 Vol.
<1%
$7.5B–$10B
$82,268 Vol.
2%
$10B–$12.5B
$63,011 Vol.
1%
$12.5B–$15B
$70,212 Vol.
12%
$15B–$17.5B
$41,798 Vol.
31%
$17.5B–$20B
$30,627 Vol.
30%
$20B+
$40,438 Vol.
28%
No IPO before January 2027
$9,467 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s September 3 S-1 filing, disclosing $1.21 billion in revenue for the nine months ended June 30—up 74% year-over-year with 5 million paid members and 85% retention—anchors trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization in the $15–20 billion range. Hardware sales of $974 million drove most of the top line while membership revenue rose 121% to $240.5 million at 89% gross margins, supporting a shift toward higher-margin recurring revenue. The filing follows a $900 million Series E at an $11 billion valuation in October 2025 and aligns with reports targeting a September Nasdaq debut (ticker OURA) that could raise up to $3 billion above $16 billion. Closely matched probabilities across the $15–17.5 billion (30.5%), $17.5–20 billion (30.0%), and $20 billion-plus (28.5%) brackets reflect uncertainty over pricing relative to private marks, secondary share sales, and execution risks including ongoing litigation over sleep-tracking accuracy.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$395,819End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s September 3 S-1 filing, disclosing $1.21 billion in revenue for the nine months ended June 30—up 74% year-over-year with 5 million paid members and 85% retention—anchors trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization in the $15–20 billion range. Hardware sales of $974 million drove most of the top line while membership revenue rose 121% to $240.5 million at 89% gross margins, supporting a shift toward higher-margin recurring revenue. The filing follows a $900 million Series E at an $11 billion valuation in October 2025 and aligns with reports targeting a September Nasdaq debut (ticker OURA) that could raise up to $3 billion above $16 billion. Closely matched probabilities across the $15–17.5 billion (30.5%), $17.5–20 billion (30.0%), and $20 billion-plus (28.5%) brackets reflect uncertainty over pricing relative to private marks, secondary share sales, and execution risks including ongoing litigation over sleep-tracking accuracy.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$395,819End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura’s September 3 S-1 filing, disclosing $1.21 billion in revenue for the nine months ended June 30—up 74% year-over-year with 5 million paid members and 85% retention—anchors trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization in the $15–20 billion range. Hardware sales of $974 million drove most of the top line while membership revenue rose 121% to $240.5 million at 89% gross margins, supporting a shift toward higher-margin recurring revenue. The filing follows a $900 million Series E at an $11 billion valuation in October 2025 and aligns with reports targeting a September Nasdaq debut (ticker OURA) that could raise up to $3 billion above $16 billion. Closely matched probabilities across the $15–17.5 billion (30.5%), $17.5–20 billion (30.0%), and $20 billion-plus (28.5%) brackets reflect uncertainty over pricing relative to private marks, secondary share sales, and execution risks including ongoing litigation over sleep-tracking accuracy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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