Oura's recent public S-1 filing highlights 74% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.21 billion for the nine months ended June 30, 2026, alongside 5 million paid members at an 85% retention rate and membership gross margins near 89%, positioning the company for nearly $2 billion in annual revenue. These fundamentals, building on an $11 billion Series E valuation from late 2025, underpin the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the $15–17.5 billion, $17.5–20 billion, and $20 billion-plus brackets at 30.5%, 30.0%, and 28.0%, respectively. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around IPO pricing, potential first-day volatility on Nasdaq under ticker OURA, rising competition from other smart-ring makers, and a pending class-action lawsuit over sleep-tracking accuracy, with the planned raise of up to $3 billion serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15B–$17.5B 31%
$17.5B–$20B 30%
$20B+ 28%
$12.5B–$15B 12%
$395,819 Vol.
$395,819 Vol.
<$7.5B
<1%
$7.5B–$10B
2%
$10B–$12.5B
1%
$12.5B–$15B
12%
$15B–$17.5B
31%
$17.5B–$20B
30%
$20B+
28%
No IPO before January 2027
1%
$15B–$17.5B 31%
$17.5B–$20B 30%
$20B+ 28%
$12.5B–$15B 12%
$395,819 Vol.
$395,819 Vol.
<$7.5B
<1%
$7.5B–$10B
2%
$10B–$12.5B
1%
$12.5B–$15B
12%
$15B–$17.5B
31%
$17.5B–$20B
30%
$20B+
28%
No IPO before January 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura's recent public S-1 filing highlights 74% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.21 billion for the nine months ended June 30, 2026, alongside 5 million paid members at an 85% retention rate and membership gross margins near 89%, positioning the company for nearly $2 billion in annual revenue. These fundamentals, building on an $11 billion Series E valuation from late 2025, underpin the closely matched market-implied odds favoring the $15–17.5 billion, $17.5–20 billion, and $20 billion-plus brackets at 30.5%, 30.0%, and 28.0%, respectively. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around IPO pricing, potential first-day volatility on Nasdaq under ticker OURA, rising competition from other smart-ring makers, and a pending class-action lawsuit over sleep-tracking accuracy, with the planned raise of up to $3 billion serving as the key near-term catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions