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icon for Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

icon for Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

$21,447 Vol.

Polymarket

$21,447 Vol.

Polymarket

Flavio Cobolli

$1,203 Vol.

97%

Carlos Alcaraz

$150 Vol.

96%

Ben Shelton

$2,280 Vol.

84%

Arthur Fils

$1,098 Vol.

69%

Daniil Medvedev

$1,025 Vol.

66%

Rafael Jodar

$2,347 Vol.

37%

Taylor Fritz

$1,151 Vol.

34%

Alex de Minaur

$3,595 Vol.

31%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$2,864 Vol.

31%

Frances Tiafoe

$138 Vol.

19%

Jakub Mensik

$80 Vol.

14%

Tommy Paul

$168 Vol.

13%

Novak Djokovic

$379 Vol.

9%

Learner Tien

$120 Vol.

16%

Brandon Nakashima

$260 Vol.

6%

Alexander Bublik

$100 Vol.

5%

Jiri Lehecka

$1,789 Vol.

4%

Luciano Darderi

$110 Vol.

4%

Andrey Rublev

$91 Vol.

4%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$70 Vol.

4%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$70 Vol.

4%

Alejandro Tabilo

$70 Vol.

4%

Matteo Arnaldi

$0 Vol.

4%

Alexander Blockx

$0 Vol.

4%

Joao Fonseca

$98 Vol.

4%

Lorenzo Musetti

$170 Vol.

4%

Quentin Halys

$0 Vol.

4%

Valentin Vacherot

$0 Vol.

4%

Zizou Bergs

$0 Vol.

4%

Raphael Collignon

$0 Vol.

4%

Mariano Navone

$100 Vol.

4%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

$70 Vol.

4%

Ugo Humbert

$160 Vol.

4%

Ignacio Buse

$84 Vol.

4%

Arthur Fery

$5 Vol.

4%

Francisco Cerundolo

$1,220 Vol.

3%

Casper Ruud

$381 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev have already secured qualification for the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals in Turin, sitting well clear at the top of the PIF ATP Live Race to Turin with over 6,800 points each after dominant seasons including multiple Masters titles and Grand Slam success. The battle for the remaining six spots centers on Carlos Alcaraz, Flavio Cobolli, Ben Shelton, Arthur Fils, Daniil Medvedev, and Frances Tiafoe, all clustered between roughly 2,700 and 3,850 points. Ongoing US Open results are shifting the standings in real time, with deeper runs boosting live totals and positioning for the post-Paris Masters cutoff. Factors like consistent hard-court form, injury management through the fall swing, and potential late surges from players such as Taylor Fritz or Rafael Jodar could still influence the final qualification order before the November event.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.

If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."

If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,447
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev have already secured qualification for the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals in Turin, sitting well clear at the top of the PIF ATP Live Race to Turin with over 6,800 points each after dominant seasons including multiple Masters titles and Grand Slam success. The battle for the remaining six spots centers on Carlos Alcaraz, Flavio Cobolli, Ben Shelton, Arthur Fils, Daniil Medvedev, and Frances Tiafoe, all clustered between roughly 2,700 and 3,850 points. Ongoing US Open results are shifting the standings in real time, with deeper runs boosting live totals and positioning for the post-Paris Masters cutoff. Factors like consistent hard-court form, injury management through the fall swing, and potential late surges from players such as Taylor Fritz or Rafael Jodar could still influence the final qualification order before the November event.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.

If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."

If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,447
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 37 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Flavio Cobolli" at 97%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 96%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" has generated $21.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify," browse the 37 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" is "Flavio Cobolli" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 96%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.