Early in the 2026 college football season, the Coach of the Year market remains tightly contested as multiple programs enter with strong preseason positioning and established coaching stability. Kirby Smart’s sustained success at Georgia, including recent SEC titles and consistent CFP contention, underpins his leading implied probability, while Curt Cignetti’s rapid elevation of Indiana to national championship contention last year and Dan Lanning’s roster-building at Oregon keep them in close range. Marcus Freeman at Notre Dame and Kalen DeBoer also factor prominently due to favorable schedules and program momentum. With no team yet dominant after Week 1 and several coaches facing comparable expectations for deep playoff runs, trader consensus reflects the wide-open nature of the award, where regular-season records, conference outcomes, and late surges can quickly shift positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKirby Smart 76%
Tony Elliott 73%
Kalen DeBoer 73%
Brent Venables 52%
Kirby Smart
76%
Tony Elliott
73%
Kalen DeBoer
73%
Brent Venables
52%
Jerry Mack
52%
Kyle Whittingham
52%
Lincoln Riley
52%
G
52%
K
52%
Pete Golding
50%
Bill Belichick
50%
Clark Lea
50%
James Franklin
50%
Matt Rhule
50%
D
50%
E
50%
H
50%
J
50%
Deion Sanders
50%
Joey McGuire
50%
Kalani Sitake
50%
Marcus Freeman
50%
Steve Sarkisian
50%
Matt Campbell
50%
Curt Cignetti
50%
Ryan Day
50%
Mike Elko
50%
I
50%
L
50%
Jim Mora
49%
F
48%
Josh Heupel
48%
Mario Cristobal
48%
Lane Kiffin
46%
Bob Chesney
46%
Jon Sumrall
46%
Dan Lanning
46%
M
46%
Kirby Smart 76%
Tony Elliott 73%
Kalen DeBoer 73%
Brent Venables 52%
Kirby Smart
76%
Tony Elliott
73%
Kalen DeBoer
73%
Brent Venables
52%
Jerry Mack
52%
Kyle Whittingham
52%
Lincoln Riley
52%
G
52%
K
52%
Pete Golding
50%
Bill Belichick
50%
Clark Lea
50%
James Franklin
50%
Matt Rhule
50%
D
50%
E
50%
H
50%
J
50%
Deion Sanders
50%
Joey McGuire
50%
Kalani Sitake
50%
Marcus Freeman
50%
Steve Sarkisian
50%
Matt Campbell
50%
Curt Cignetti
50%
Ryan Day
50%
Mike Elko
50%
I
50%
L
50%
Jim Mora
49%
F
48%
Josh Heupel
48%
Mario Cristobal
48%
Lane Kiffin
46%
Bob Chesney
46%
Jon Sumrall
46%
Dan Lanning
46%
M
46%
If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by February 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple coaches are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the coach whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by February 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple coaches are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the coach whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early in the 2026 college football season, the Coach of the Year market remains tightly contested as multiple programs enter with strong preseason positioning and established coaching stability. Kirby Smart’s sustained success at Georgia, including recent SEC titles and consistent CFP contention, underpins his leading implied probability, while Curt Cignetti’s rapid elevation of Indiana to national championship contention last year and Dan Lanning’s roster-building at Oregon keep them in close range. Marcus Freeman at Notre Dame and Kalen DeBoer also factor prominently due to favorable schedules and program momentum. With no team yet dominant after Week 1 and several coaches facing comparable expectations for deep playoff runs, trader consensus reflects the wide-open nature of the award, where regular-season records, conference outcomes, and late surges can quickly shift positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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