The 2026 Big 12 passing touchdowns race remains tightly bunched because the conference features roughly a dozen viable starting quarterbacks with overlapping profiles in experience, dual-threat ability, and offensive schemes. Recent transfer portal movement brought in proven producers such as Devon Dampier at Utah, Alonza Barnett III at UCF, Drew Mestemaker at Oklahoma State, and Michael Hawkins Jr. at West Virginia, while returning starters like Noah Fifita at Arizona, Bear Bachmeier at BYU, and Conner Weigman at Houston carry strong 2025 benchmarks of 24–29 touchdowns. Preseason analyses from multiple outlets rank several of these signal-callers within a narrow tier, reflecting similar projected pass attempts, supporting casts, and conference schedule strength. With no clear frontrunner and early-season results still pending, trader consensus assigns comparable implied probabilities across the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMichael Hawkins Jr. 48%
Jaylen Raynor 47%
Bear Bachmeier 47%
Cutter Boley 47%
Michael Hawkins Jr.
48%
Jaylen Raynor
47%
Bear Bachmeier
47%
Cutter Boley
47%
Julian Lewis
47%
Conner Weigman
46%
Alonza Barnett III
46%
Drew Mestemaker
46%
JC French IV
43%
Will Hammond
43%
Noah Fifita
43%
Avery Johnson
43%
Cole Ballard
43%
Devon Dampier
43%
DJ Lagway
43%
Jaden Craig
43%
Scotty Fox Jr.
43%
Michael Hawkins Jr. 48%
Jaylen Raynor 47%
Bear Bachmeier 47%
Cutter Boley 47%
Michael Hawkins Jr.
48%
Jaylen Raynor
47%
Bear Bachmeier
47%
Cutter Boley
47%
Julian Lewis
47%
Conner Weigman
46%
Alonza Barnett III
46%
Drew Mestemaker
46%
JC French IV
43%
Will Hammond
43%
Noah Fifita
43%
Avery Johnson
43%
Cole Ballard
43%
Devon Dampier
43%
DJ Lagway
43%
Jaden Craig
43%
Scotty Fox Jr.
43%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Big 12 passing touchdowns race remains tightly bunched because the conference features roughly a dozen viable starting quarterbacks with overlapping profiles in experience, dual-threat ability, and offensive schemes. Recent transfer portal movement brought in proven producers such as Devon Dampier at Utah, Alonza Barnett III at UCF, Drew Mestemaker at Oklahoma State, and Michael Hawkins Jr. at West Virginia, while returning starters like Noah Fifita at Arizona, Bear Bachmeier at BYU, and Conner Weigman at Houston carry strong 2025 benchmarks of 24–29 touchdowns. Preseason analyses from multiple outlets rank several of these signal-callers within a narrow tier, reflecting similar projected pass attempts, supporting casts, and conference schedule strength. With no clear frontrunner and early-season results still pending, trader consensus assigns comparable implied probabilities across the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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