The 2026 Heisman race sits in an unusually tight cluster early in the season, with multiple quarterbacks from Power conference contenders holding comparable implied probabilities around 25-40 percent amid a crowded field. Returning starters such as CJ Carr at Notre Dame and Arch Manning at Texas enter with established production and supporting casts but face stiff competition from transfers like Darian Mensah at Miami, who posted strong efficiency numbers in his new offense, alongside Dante Moore at Oregon and Julian Sayin at Ohio State. Non-quarterback standouts including Ohio State’s Jeremiah Smith add further parity, while depth players like Byrum Brown, Gunner Stockton, and LaNorris Sellers keep the board fragmented. Schedule strength, injury management, and early conference results will continue to shift trader consensus in this wide-open market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner
Josh Hoover 51%
Will Hammond 40.7%
Ahmad Hardy 39.9%
Byrum Brown 39.3%
Josh Hoover
51%
Will Hammond
41%
Ahmad Hardy
40%
Byrum Brown
39%
Gunner Stockton
39%
Kewan Lacy
39%
LaNorris Sellers
38%
Drew Mestemaker
38%
Rocco Becht
35%
Malachi Toney
26%
Bryce Underwood
26%
Austin Mack
25%
Marcel Reed
24%
Kevin Jennings
24%
Sam Leavitt
24%
Keelon Russell
24%
Demond Williams Jr.
24%
Arch Manning
13%
Jeremiah Smith
10%
Julian Sayin
8%
John Mateer
5%
Brendan Sorsby
25%
Bo Jackson
25%
CJ Carr
29%
Darian Mensah
45%
Trinidad Chambliss
-
Dante Moore
33%
Jayden Maiava
34%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
36%
Josh Hoover 51%
Will Hammond 40.7%
Ahmad Hardy 39.9%
Byrum Brown 39.3%
Josh Hoover
51%
Will Hammond
41%
Ahmad Hardy
40%
Byrum Brown
39%
Gunner Stockton
39%
Kewan Lacy
39%
LaNorris Sellers
38%
Drew Mestemaker
38%
Rocco Becht
35%
Malachi Toney
26%
Bryce Underwood
26%
Austin Mack
25%
Marcel Reed
24%
Kevin Jennings
24%
Sam Leavitt
24%
Keelon Russell
24%
Demond Williams Jr.
24%
Arch Manning
13%
Jeremiah Smith
10%
Julian Sayin
8%
John Mateer
5%
Brendan Sorsby
25%
Bo Jackson
25%
CJ Carr
29%
Darian Mensah
45%
Trinidad Chambliss
-
Dante Moore
33%
Jayden Maiava
34%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
36%
If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Heisman race sits in an unusually tight cluster early in the season, with multiple quarterbacks from Power conference contenders holding comparable implied probabilities around 25-40 percent amid a crowded field. Returning starters such as CJ Carr at Notre Dame and Arch Manning at Texas enter with established production and supporting casts but face stiff competition from transfers like Darian Mensah at Miami, who posted strong efficiency numbers in his new offense, alongside Dante Moore at Oregon and Julian Sayin at Ohio State. Non-quarterback standouts including Ohio State’s Jeremiah Smith add further parity, while depth players like Byrum Brown, Gunner Stockton, and LaNorris Sellers keep the board fragmented. Schedule strength, injury management, and early conference results will continue to shift trader consensus in this wide-open market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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