The 2026 Heisman race remains tightly bunched because a deep group of quarterbacks and skill players on College Football Playoff contenders opened the season with strong statistical showings and favorable team contexts. Darian Mensah’s transfer to Miami produced an explosive Week 1 outing that elevated his implied probability, while returning standouts like CJ Carr at Notre Dame, Arch Manning at Texas, Dante Moore at Oregon, and Julian Sayin at Ohio State benefit from proven production and high-profile schedules. Wide receivers Jeremiah Smith and Malachi Toney add non-quarterback intrigue, and depth across the Big Ten, SEC, and ACC prevents any single candidate from pulling away early. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with outcomes clustered as no dominant front-runner has emerged after limited games.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner
Josh Hoover 51%
LaNorris Sellers 40.8%
Ahmad Hardy 39.5%
Kewan Lacy 38.6%
Josh Hoover
51%
LaNorris Sellers
41%
Ahmad Hardy
40%
Kewan Lacy
39%
Byrum Brown
38%
Gunner Stockton
38%
Drew Mestemaker
38%
Will Hammond
36%
Marcel Reed
26%
Bryce Underwood
26%
Demond Williams Jr.
26%
Kevin Jennings
25%
Malachi Toney
25%
Sam Leavitt
24%
Keelon Russell
24%
Austin Mack
24%
Rocco Becht
23%
CJ Carr
24%
Arch Manning
13%
Jeremiah Smith
10%
Julian Sayin
8%
John Mateer
5%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
25%
Brendan Sorsby
25%
Bo Jackson
25%
Darian Mensah
39%
Trinidad Chambliss
-
Dante Moore
37%
Jayden Maiava
34%
Josh Hoover 51%
LaNorris Sellers 40.8%
Ahmad Hardy 39.5%
Kewan Lacy 38.6%
Josh Hoover
51%
LaNorris Sellers
41%
Ahmad Hardy
40%
Kewan Lacy
39%
Byrum Brown
38%
Gunner Stockton
38%
Drew Mestemaker
38%
Will Hammond
36%
Marcel Reed
26%
Bryce Underwood
26%
Demond Williams Jr.
26%
Kevin Jennings
25%
Malachi Toney
25%
Sam Leavitt
24%
Keelon Russell
24%
Austin Mack
24%
Rocco Becht
23%
CJ Carr
24%
Arch Manning
13%
Jeremiah Smith
10%
Julian Sayin
8%
John Mateer
5%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
25%
Brendan Sorsby
25%
Bo Jackson
25%
Darian Mensah
39%
Trinidad Chambliss
-
Dante Moore
37%
Jayden Maiava
34%
If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Heisman race remains tightly bunched because a deep group of quarterbacks and skill players on College Football Playoff contenders opened the season with strong statistical showings and favorable team contexts. Darian Mensah’s transfer to Miami produced an explosive Week 1 outing that elevated his implied probability, while returning standouts like CJ Carr at Notre Dame, Arch Manning at Texas, Dante Moore at Oregon, and Julian Sayin at Ohio State benefit from proven production and high-profile schedules. Wide receivers Jeremiah Smith and Malachi Toney add non-quarterback intrigue, and depth across the Big Ten, SEC, and ACC prevents any single candidate from pulling away early. Trader consensus reflects this parity, with outcomes clustered as no dominant front-runner has emerged after limited games.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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