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icon for NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

icon for NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

2% chance
Polymarket

$253,224 Vol.

2% chance
Polymarket

$253,224 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stephen Curry’s repeated public statements affirming his desire to finish his career with the Golden State Warriors, combined with consistent messaging from GM Mike Dunleavy and owner Joe Lacob that the franchise icon wants to remain in Golden State, have anchored trader consensus around the 98% implied probability he stays. Curry, entering the final year of his current deal, is eligible for a two-year maximum extension and has emphasized prioritizing team preparation and winning over contract talks, with both sides aligned on keeping him through his age-40 season. The Warriors have shown willingness to accommodate his preferences while he continues producing at a high level. Realistic shifts remain possible if a significant injury alters his outlook, the roster’s competitiveness declines sharply, or unforeseen personal factors emerge, though no such developments have surfaced.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$253,224
End Date
Oct 22, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stephen Curry’s repeated public statements affirming his desire to finish his career with the Golden State Warriors, combined with consistent messaging from GM Mike Dunleavy and owner Joe Lacob that the franchise icon wants to remain in Golden State, have anchored trader consensus around the 98% implied probability he stays. Curry, entering the final year of his current deal, is eligible for a two-year maximum extension and has emphasized prioritizing team preparation and winning over contract talks, with both sides aligned on keeping him through his age-40 season. The Warriors have shown willingness to accommodate his preferences while he continues producing at a high level. Realistic shifts remain possible if a significant injury alters his outlook, the roster’s competitiveness declines sharply, or unforeseen personal factors emerge, though no such developments have surfaced.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$253,224
End Date
Oct 22, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 2% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 2¢, the market collectively assigns a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?" has generated $253.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?" is 2% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.