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icon for NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner
Sports·Nascar

NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner

icon for NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner
Sports·Nascar

NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner

Kyle Larson 99%

Austin Hill 99%

Austin Dillon 95%

Denny Hamlin 95%

Polymarket
NEW

Kyle Larson 99%

Austin Hill 99%

Austin Dillon 95%

Denny Hamlin 95%

Polymarket
NEW

Kyle Larson

$0 Vol.

99%

Austin Hill

$0 Vol.

99%

Austin Dillon

$0 Vol.

95%

Denny Hamlin

$0 Vol.

95%

Ryan Blaney

$0 Vol.

95%

Michael McDowell

$0 Vol.

95%

Erik Jones

$0 Vol.

95%

Darrell Wallace Jr

$0 Vol.

95%

Ross Chastain

$0 Vol.

95%

Alex Bowman

$0 Vol.

95%

Christopher Bell

$0 Vol.

95%

Tyler Reddick

$0 Vol.

95%

William Byron

$0 Vol.

95%

Josh Berry

$0 Vol.

95%

Chase Briscoe

$0 Vol.

95%

Riley Herbst

$0 Vol.

95%

Carson Hocevar

$0 Vol.

95%

Ty Gibbs

$0 Vol.

95%

John Hunter Nemechek

$0 Vol.

88%

Corey Heim

$0 Vol.

50%

AJ Allmendinger

$0 Vol.

48%

Ricky Stenhouse Jr

$0 Vol.

48%

Joey Logano

$0 Vol.

48%

Chase Elliott

$0 Vol.

48%

Chris Buescher

$0 Vol.

48%

Ty Dillon

$0 Vol.

48%

Daniel Suarez

$0 Vol.

48%

Ryan Preece

$0 Vol.

48%

Cody Ware

$0 Vol.

48%

Cole Custer

$0 Vol.

48%

Austin Cindric

$0 Vol.

48%

Noah Gragson

$0 Vol.

48%

Chad Finchum

$0 Vol.

48%

Zane Smith

$0 Vol.

48%

Shane Van Gisbergen

$0 Vol.

48%

Connor Zilisch

$0 Vol.

48%

Todd Gilliland

$0 Vol.

45%

Brad Keselowski

$1 Vol.

48%

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 44–50% for the Cook Out Southern 500 winner reflects a deep field of drivers with strong Darlington Raceway pedigrees entering the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Chase opener. Tyler Reddick starts from the pole after weather canceled practice and qualifying, while Chase Briscoe seeks a third straight Southern 500 victory and Denny Hamlin leverages five prior wins at the “Track Too Tough to Tame.” Kyle Larson, William Byron, Christopher Bell, and others bring recent stage points, laps-led totals, and consistent top finishes, compressing the market as no single driver holds a decisive edge in car setup, tire management, or playoff positioning. Track history and the non-elimination format further level expectations across the 38-car entry.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 44–50% for the Cook Out Southern 500 winner reflects a deep field of drivers with strong Darlington Raceway pedigrees entering the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Chase opener. Tyler Reddick starts from the pole after weather canceled practice and qualifying, while Chase Briscoe seeks a third straight Southern 500 victory and Denny Hamlin leverages five prior wins at the “Track Too Tough to Tame.” Kyle Larson, William Byron, Christopher Bell, and others bring recent stage points, laps-led totals, and consistent top finishes, compressing the market as no single driver holds a decisive edge in car setup, tire management, or playoff positioning. Track history and the non-elimination format further level expectations across the 38-car entry.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500, scheduled for Sep 6, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out Southern 500 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$1
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 38 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kyle Larson" at 50%, followed by "Austin Hill" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner," browse the 38 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner" is "Kyle Larson" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Austin Hill" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NASCAR: Cook Out Southern 500 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.