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icon for NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner

NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner

icon for NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner

NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner

Sam Mayer 99%

Carson Kvapil 99%

Justin Allgaier 99%

Austin Hill 99%

Polymarket
NEW

Sam Mayer 99%

Carson Kvapil 99%

Justin Allgaier 99%

Austin Hill 99%

Polymarket
NEW

Sam Mayer

$0 Vol.

99%

Carson Kvapil

$0 Vol.

99%

Justin Allgaier

$0 Vol.

99%

Austin Hill

$0 Vol.

99%

Corey Day

$0 Vol.

99%

Brent Crews

$0 Vol.

99%

Brandon Jones

$0 Vol.

99%

Sheldon Creed

$0 Vol.

99%

Blaine Perkins

$0 Vol.

50%

Kyle Sieg

$0 Vol.

50%

Dean Thompson

$0 Vol.

50%

Daniel Dye

$0 Vol.

50%

William Sawalich

$0 Vol.

50%

Jesse Love

$0 Vol.

50%

Joey Gase

$0 Vol.

50%

Ryan Ellis

$0 Vol.

50%

Ryan Sieg

$0 Vol.

50%

Garrett Smithley

$0 Vol.

50%

Josh Bilicki

$0 Vol.

50%

Harrison Burton

$0 Vol.

50%

Patrick Staropoli

$0 Vol.

50%

Dawson Cram

$0 Vol.

50%

Anthony Alfredo

$0 Vol.

50%

Jake Finch

$0 Vol.

50%

Lavar Scott

$0 Vol.

50%

Jeb Burton

$0 Vol.

50%

Brennan Poole

$0 Vol.

50%

Jeremy Clements

$0 Vol.

50%

Taylor Gray

$0 Vol.

50%

Nicholas Sanchez

$0 Vol.

50%

Parker Retzlaff

$0 Vol.

50%

Rajah Caruth

$0 Vol.

50%

Sammy Smith

$0 Vol.

50%

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The Fleetio 200 at Darlington Raceway opens the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Chase on a demanding 1.366-mile egg-shaped oval known for its abrasive surface and unpredictable racing. Recent qualifying placed Carson Kvapil on the pole ahead of Justin Allgaier and Brandon Jones, while a broad group of drivers including Jesse Love, Sam Mayer, Austin Hill, Sheldon Creed, and several others posted competitive laps. Historical patterns at the track show frequent lead changes and strong performances from multiple teams, with no single driver dominating recent events. Playoff positioning adds urgency for Chase contenders, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh starting position, recent form, and the high likelihood of strategic or caution-driven swings in a deep field.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The Fleetio 200 at Darlington Raceway opens the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Chase on a demanding 1.366-mile egg-shaped oval known for its abrasive surface and unpredictable racing. Recent qualifying placed Carson Kvapil on the pole ahead of Justin Allgaier and Brandon Jones, while a broad group of drivers including Jesse Love, Sam Mayer, Austin Hill, Sheldon Creed, and several others posted competitive laps. Historical patterns at the track show frequent lead changes and strong performances from multiple teams, with no single driver dominating recent events. Playoff positioning adds urgency for Chase contenders, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh starting position, recent form, and the high likelihood of strategic or caution-driven swings in a deep field.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Xfinity Series Fleetio 200 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 12, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sam Mayer" at 50%, followed by "Carson Kvapil" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner" is "Sam Mayer" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carson Kvapil" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NASCAR: Fleetio 200 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.