**Robin Fraser leads the 2026 MLS Coach of the Year market at 41.9% implied probability as Toronto FC posts an unbeaten streak in recent matches and shows resilience with multiple comebacks despite a mid-table Eastern Conference standing.** Javier Mascherano sits at 30.8% following his earlier Inter Miami tenure that included prior success, even after his April departure. Henrik Rydström (28.6%) and others like Marc Dos Santos and Pablo Mastroeni cluster in the mid-20s amid a balanced season where Nashville SC, Vancouver Whitecaps, and Houston Dynamo top the standings under their respective coaches. Recent post-World Cup break results, summer roster adjustments, and consistent form across multiple clubs have kept probabilities tightly grouped without a clear frontrunner, reflecting trader consensus on ongoing regular-season performance through late summer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRobin Fraser 42.0%
Henrik Rydström 28.6%
Marc Dos Santos 24.4%
Greg Vanney 23.2%
$82,819 Vol.
$82,819 Vol.
Robin Fraser
42%
Henrik Rydström
29%
Marc Dos Santos
24%
Greg Vanney
23%
Mikey Varas
6%
Jesper Sørensen
5%
Phil Neville
5%
Marco Donadel
5%
René Weiler
5%
Pascal Jansen
4%
Raphael Wicky
4%
Eric Quill
3%
Marko Mitrović
3%
Matt Wells
3%
Yoann Damet
3%
Gregg Berhalter
3%
Bruce Arena
19%
Óscar Pareja
3%
Bradley Carnell
9%
Pat Noonan
2%
Michael Bradley
1%
B.J. Callaghan
20%
Dean Smith
23%
Gerardo “Tata” Martino
1%
Ben Olsen
19%
Nico Estévez
1%
Cameron Knowles
1%
Pablo Mastroeni
26%
Javier Mascherano
31%
Brian Schmetzer
33%
Robin Fraser 42.0%
Henrik Rydström 28.6%
Marc Dos Santos 24.4%
Greg Vanney 23.2%
$82,819 Vol.
$82,819 Vol.
Robin Fraser
42%
Henrik Rydström
29%
Marc Dos Santos
24%
Greg Vanney
23%
Mikey Varas
6%
Jesper Sørensen
5%
Phil Neville
5%
Marco Donadel
5%
René Weiler
5%
Pascal Jansen
4%
Raphael Wicky
4%
Eric Quill
3%
Marko Mitrović
3%
Matt Wells
3%
Yoann Damet
3%
Gregg Berhalter
3%
Bruce Arena
19%
Óscar Pareja
3%
Bradley Carnell
9%
Pat Noonan
2%
Michael Bradley
1%
B.J. Callaghan
20%
Dean Smith
23%
Gerardo “Tata” Martino
1%
Ben Olsen
19%
Nico Estévez
1%
Cameron Knowles
1%
Pablo Mastroeni
26%
Javier Mascherano
31%
Brian Schmetzer
33%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Robin Fraser leads the 2026 MLS Coach of the Year market at 41.9% implied probability as Toronto FC posts an unbeaten streak in recent matches and shows resilience with multiple comebacks despite a mid-table Eastern Conference standing.** Javier Mascherano sits at 30.8% following his earlier Inter Miami tenure that included prior success, even after his April departure. Henrik Rydström (28.6%) and others like Marc Dos Santos and Pablo Mastroeni cluster in the mid-20s amid a balanced season where Nashville SC, Vancouver Whitecaps, and Houston Dynamo top the standings under their respective coaches. Recent post-World Cup break results, summer roster adjustments, and consistent form across multiple clubs have kept probabilities tightly grouped without a clear frontrunner, reflecting trader consensus on ongoing regular-season performance through late summer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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