The tightly bunched probabilities for the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year reflect a wide-open race through early September, with no center back separating from the pack in core metrics such as clean sheets, aerial duel wins, tackles, and progressive passes. Miguel Tapias, Yevhen Cheberko, Marcelo Silva, Sigurd Rosted, and Kamal Miller post comparable defensive contributions across strong back lines, while established names like Walker Zimmerman and Jackson Ragen remain in range on teams with solid records. This parity in recent form and statistical output has sustained the even distribution of trader consensus around the top group, as no single defender has established a decisive edge in league-wide rankings or standout performances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAaron Long 48.7%
Micael 32.3%
Miguel Tapias 31.8%
Marcelo Silva 31.1%
$902,113 Vol.
$902,113 Vol.
Aaron Long
25%
Micael
32%
Miguel Tapias
32%
Marcelo Silva
31%
Sigurd Rosted
31%
Andreas Maxsø
30%
Henry Kessler
28%
Birk Risa
26%
Jakob Glesnes
26%
Mauricio Pineda
26%
Walker Zimmerman
25%
Donovan Pines
25%
Jackson Ragen
24%
Joel Waterman
23%
Andrés Reyes
8%
Dany Rosero
6%
Sebastien Ibeagha
5%
Nkosi Tafari
23%
Noah Eile
5%
Rodrigues
5%
Maximiliano Falcón
4%
Jack Maher
4%
Enea Mihaj
4%
Jack Elliott
4%
Adilson Malanda
4%
Christopher McVey
4%
Erik Sviatchenko
4%
Sean Nealis
4%
Jalen Neal
3%
Ranko Veselinović
3%
Lucas Bartlett
2%
Andrew Privett
2%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Daniel Munie
24%
Zac McGraw
1%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Brendan Hines-Ike
1%
Robert Voloder
26%
Michael Boxall
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Kevin Long
1%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Thiago Martins
1%
Tomás Avilés
1%
Eddie Segura
1%
Miles Robinson
1%
Oleksandr Svatok
1%
Dave Romney
1%
Lalas Abubakar
1%
Tim Parker
1%
Rudy Camacho
1%
Carlos Terán
1%
David Brekalo
1%
Robin Jansson
<1%
Matt Miazga
<1%
Justen Glad
25%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Tristan Blackmon
29%
Yevhen Cheberko
31%
Kamal Miller
35%
Aaron Long 48.7%
Micael 32.3%
Miguel Tapias 31.8%
Marcelo Silva 31.1%
$902,113 Vol.
$902,113 Vol.
Aaron Long
25%
Micael
32%
Miguel Tapias
32%
Marcelo Silva
31%
Sigurd Rosted
31%
Andreas Maxsø
30%
Henry Kessler
28%
Birk Risa
26%
Jakob Glesnes
26%
Mauricio Pineda
26%
Walker Zimmerman
25%
Donovan Pines
25%
Jackson Ragen
24%
Joel Waterman
23%
Andrés Reyes
8%
Dany Rosero
6%
Sebastien Ibeagha
5%
Nkosi Tafari
23%
Noah Eile
5%
Rodrigues
5%
Maximiliano Falcón
4%
Jack Maher
4%
Enea Mihaj
4%
Jack Elliott
4%
Adilson Malanda
4%
Christopher McVey
4%
Erik Sviatchenko
4%
Sean Nealis
4%
Jalen Neal
3%
Ranko Veselinović
3%
Lucas Bartlett
2%
Andrew Privett
2%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Daniel Munie
24%
Zac McGraw
1%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Brendan Hines-Ike
1%
Robert Voloder
26%
Michael Boxall
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Kevin Long
1%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Thiago Martins
1%
Tomás Avilés
1%
Eddie Segura
1%
Miles Robinson
1%
Oleksandr Svatok
1%
Dave Romney
1%
Lalas Abubakar
1%
Tim Parker
1%
Rudy Camacho
1%
Carlos Terán
1%
David Brekalo
1%
Robin Jansson
<1%
Matt Miazga
<1%
Justen Glad
25%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Tristan Blackmon
29%
Yevhen Cheberko
31%
Kamal Miller
35%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tightly bunched probabilities for the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year reflect a wide-open race through early September, with no center back separating from the pack in core metrics such as clean sheets, aerial duel wins, tackles, and progressive passes. Miguel Tapias, Yevhen Cheberko, Marcelo Silva, Sigurd Rosted, and Kamal Miller post comparable defensive contributions across strong back lines, while established names like Walker Zimmerman and Jackson Ragen remain in range on teams with solid records. This parity in recent form and statistical output has sustained the even distribution of trader consensus around the top group, as no single defender has established a decisive edge in league-wide rankings or standout performances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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