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icon for MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
Sports·Baseball

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

icon for MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
Sports·Baseball

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

Cincinnati Reds 67.8%

Detroit Tigers 4.4%

Athletics 3.6%

Cleveland Guardians 3.4%

Polymarket

$1,292,334 Vol.

Cincinnati Reds 67.8%

Detroit Tigers 4.4%

Athletics 3.6%

Cleveland Guardians 3.4%

Polymarket

$1,292,334 Vol.

Cincinnati Reds

$2,148 Vol.

68%

Detroit Tigers

$152,996 Vol.

4%

Athletics

$1,160 Vol.

4%

Cleveland Guardians

$504 Vol.

3%

Philadelphia Phillies

$557,623 Vol.

3%

Chicago Cubs

$1,485 Vol.

12%

Toronto Blue Jays

$374 Vol.

3%

New York Yankees

$1,430 Vol.

3%

Miami Marlins

$93,365 Vol.

2%

Arizona Diamondbacks

$1,304 Vol.

2%

Pittsburgh Pirates

$356 Vol.

2%

Los Angeles Dodgers

$3,124 Vol.

1%

New York Mets

$465,650 Vol.

1%

Milwaukee Brewers

$600 Vol.

1%

Tampa Bay Rays

$1,086 Vol.

<1%

Baltimore Orioles

$581 Vol.

<1%

Chicago White Sox

$567 Vol.

<1%

Kansas City Royals

$836 Vol.

<1%

Atlanta Braves

$555 Vol.

<1%

Colorado Rockies

$1,335 Vol.

<1%

Texas Rangers

$1,353 Vol.

<1%

Washington Nationals

$545 Vol.

<1%

San Diego Padres

$300 Vol.

<1%

Seattle Mariners

$374 Vol.

<1%

Los Angeles Angels

$448 Vol.

<1%

St. Louis Cardinals

$473 Vol.

<1%

Boston Red Sox

$407 Vol.

<1%

Minnesota Twins

$518 Vol.

<1%

San Francisco Giants

$384 Vol.

<1%

Houston Astros

$456 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Cincinnati Reds hold a commanding lead in implied probability for the highest team ABS challenge success rate because they have posted the MLB-best mark throughout the 2026 season, reaching 64%+ on combined batter and catcher/pitcher challenges through late summer per Elias and ESPN tracking. Their edge stems from disciplined, high-percentage usage—particularly by catcher Tyler Stephenson and selective hitter challenges—rather than volume, allowing them to retain challenges more effectively than most clubs. Other contenders such as the Diamondbacks, Tigers, and Athletics remain competitive in the 55-62% range but trail consistently in aggregate success. Late-season data through early September shows no meaningful shift in these standings, reinforcing trader consensus around the Reds’ sustained advantage in the inaugural year of the challenge system.

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,292,334
End Date
Oct 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Cincinnati Reds hold a commanding lead in implied probability for the highest team ABS challenge success rate because they have posted the MLB-best mark throughout the 2026 season, reaching 64%+ on combined batter and catcher/pitcher challenges through late summer per Elias and ESPN tracking. Their edge stems from disciplined, high-percentage usage—particularly by catcher Tyler Stephenson and selective hitter challenges—rather than volume, allowing them to retain challenges more effectively than most clubs. Other contenders such as the Diamondbacks, Tigers, and Athletics remain competitive in the 55-62% range but trail consistently in aggregate success. Late-season data through early September shows no meaningful shift in these standings, reinforcing trader consensus around the Reds’ sustained advantage in the inaugural year of the challenge system.

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,292,334
End Date
Oct 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cincinnati Reds" at 68%, followed by "Chicago Cubs" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" is "Cincinnati Reds" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chicago Cubs" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.