Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Mayoral

Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·Mayoral

Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner

Stephanie Cameron 64%

Ben Dudman 31%

Wayne Johnston 3.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Stephanie Cameron 64%

Ben Dudman 31%

Wayne Johnston 3.3%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Stephanie Cameron

Stephanie Cameron

$582 Vol.

64%

icon for Ben Dudman

Ben Dudman

$3,153 Vol.

31%

icon for Wayne Johnston

Wayne Johnston

$81 Vol.

3%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Meander Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Stephanie Cameron leads the Meander Valley mayoral market at 63% implied probability as the sitting deputy mayor and a declared candidate for the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government election. Incumbent Mayor Wayne Johnston’s April 2026 announcement that he would not seek re-election after eight years removed the primary barrier to change and shifted focus to experienced councillors. Ben Dudman, a sitting councillor actively campaigning for the mayoralty, holds the next position at 30.5%, reflecting trader assessment of name recognition and local profile among remaining contenders. The market treats other listed names largely as low-volume placeholders, with resolution determined solely by official Tasmanian Electoral Commission results once postal votes are counted.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Meander Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Meander Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$3,816
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Meander Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Stephanie Cameron leads the Meander Valley mayoral market at 63% implied probability as the sitting deputy mayor and a declared candidate for the October 27, 2026, Tasmanian local government election. Incumbent Mayor Wayne Johnston’s April 2026 announcement that he would not seek re-election after eight years removed the primary barrier to change and shifted focus to experienced councillors. Ben Dudman, a sitting councillor actively campaigning for the mayoralty, holds the next position at 30.5%, reflecting trader assessment of name recognition and local profile among remaining contenders. The market treats other listed names largely as low-volume placeholders, with resolution determined solely by official Tasmanian Electoral Commission results once postal votes are counted.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Meander Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Meander Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$3,816
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?

Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?

53%
icon for Will Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?

Will Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?

52%
icon for Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?

Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?

59%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Stephanie Cameron" at 64%, followed by "Ben Dudman" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner" is "Stephanie Cameron" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ben Dudman" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Meander Valley Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.