Lacy and Marlon transitioned into the Hardcore Minecraft leg of their September 2026 multi-game marathon after clearing Warzone and Fortnite in roughly 25 hours, with resolution tied to the cumulative in-game death counter on their official Twitch streams. Trader consensus centers on the 4-5 and 6-7 bins because prior endurance benchmarks show moderate death totals under fatigue—around 60 deaths across their 2025 four-day Minecraft run and 47 falls in a 2026 Chained Together session—while current conditions introduce higher variance from duo coordination challenges, limited recent Hardcore practice, and extended stamina demands that can produce early spikes or steadier progress. The bunched mid-range pricing reflects this balance between the pair’s proven execution in similar gauntlets and the unpredictable risks of marathon-length Hardcore play, where small coordination lapses or mob encounters can shift totals without pushing into extreme outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4-5 50%
6-7 29.7%
8-9 13%
10-11 9.1%
$73,300 Vol.
$73,300 Vol.
<2
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
50%
6-7
30%
8-9
13%
10-11
9%
12-13
2%
14-15
<1%
16+
2%
4-5 50%
6-7 29.7%
8-9 13%
10-11 9.1%
$73,300 Vol.
$73,300 Vol.
<2
<1%
2-3
<1%
4-5
50%
6-7
30%
8-9
13%
10-11
9%
12-13
2%
14-15
<1%
16+
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Resolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon transitioned into the Hardcore Minecraft leg of their September 2026 multi-game marathon after clearing Warzone and Fortnite in roughly 25 hours, with resolution tied to the cumulative in-game death counter on their official Twitch streams. Trader consensus centers on the 4-5 and 6-7 bins because prior endurance benchmarks show moderate death totals under fatigue—around 60 deaths across their 2025 four-day Minecraft run and 47 falls in a 2026 Chained Together session—while current conditions introduce higher variance from duo coordination challenges, limited recent Hardcore practice, and extended stamina demands that can produce early spikes or steadier progress. The bunched mid-range pricing reflects this balance between the pair’s proven execution in similar gauntlets and the unpredictable risks of marathon-length Hardcore play, where small coordination lapses or mob encounters can shift totals without pushing into extreme outliers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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