Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous Twitch marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Hardcore Minecraft without restarts. They cleared the first two titles in roughly 25 hours, shifting focus to the higher-variance Minecraft segment where duo coordination, death management, and stamina now determine outcomes. Trader consensus assigns rising implied probabilities for completion by mid-September, reflecting the pair’s prior endurance benchmarks including a 2025 Minecraft run finished in four days and a 2026 Chained Together session completed in 22 hours with 47 falls. The single-run gauntlet format introduces elevated risk from limited recent Hardcore practice and marathon-length fatigue, with resolution tied directly to official broadcasts showing final game completions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$406,757 Vol.
September 5 (11:59 PM)
2%
September 6 (11:59 PM)
23%
September 7 (11:59 PM)
42%
September 8 (11:59 PM)
54%
September 9 (11:59 PM)
66%
September 10 (11:59 PM)
76%
September 14 (11:59 PM)
85%
$406,757 Vol.
September 5 (11:59 PM)
2%
September 6 (11:59 PM)
23%
September 7 (11:59 PM)
42%
September 8 (11:59 PM)
54%
September 9 (11:59 PM)
66%
September 10 (11:59 PM)
76%
September 14 (11:59 PM)
85%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lacy and Marlon complete all three aforementioned objectives of the challenge live on stream by the specified date and time (ET).
An objective must be achieved on stream and accepted by Lacy and Marlon as complete, regardless of any rule changes made during the challenge. An objective will not be treated as completed if they void and continue pursuing it.
Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or not completed by the specified date and time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts of Lacy and Marlon.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lacy and Marlon complete all three aforementioned objectives of the challenge live on stream by the specified date and time (ET).
An objective must be achieved on stream and accepted by Lacy and Marlon as complete, regardless of any rule changes made during the challenge. An objective will not be treated as completed if they void and continue pursuing it.
Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or not completed by the specified date and time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts of Lacy and Marlon.
Resolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x65070BE91...Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous Twitch marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Hardcore Minecraft without restarts. They cleared the first two titles in roughly 25 hours, shifting focus to the higher-variance Minecraft segment where duo coordination, death management, and stamina now determine outcomes. Trader consensus assigns rising implied probabilities for completion by mid-September, reflecting the pair’s prior endurance benchmarks including a 2025 Minecraft run finished in four days and a 2026 Chained Together session completed in 22 hours with 47 falls. The single-run gauntlet format introduces elevated risk from limited recent Hardcore practice and marathon-length fatigue, with resolution tied directly to official broadcasts showing final game completions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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