Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous single-run gauntlet on September 1, 2026, clearing Fortnite and Warzone in roughly 25 hours before entering the higher-variance Hardcore Minecraft segment. Trader consensus now assigns the strongest implied probability to completion by September 14, informed by the duo’s prior benchmarks including a four-day Minecraft marathon in 2025 and a 22-hour Chained Together run with 47 falls in 2026. The current format raises outcome variance through duo coordination demands, cumulative deaths, fatigue management, and extended stamina requirements, with resolution tied directly to official Twitch broadcasts. Limited recent Hardcore practice adds execution risk, though their established endurance supports steady progress toward mid-September resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$406,657 Vol.
September 5 (11:59 PM)
2%
September 6 (11:59 PM)
24%
September 7 (11:59 PM)
42%
September 8 (11:59 PM)
54%
September 9 (11:59 PM)
65%
September 10 (11:59 PM)
76%
September 14 (11:59 PM)
85%
$406,657 Vol.
September 5 (11:59 PM)
2%
September 6 (11:59 PM)
24%
September 7 (11:59 PM)
42%
September 8 (11:59 PM)
54%
September 9 (11:59 PM)
65%
September 10 (11:59 PM)
76%
September 14 (11:59 PM)
85%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lacy and Marlon complete all three aforementioned objectives of the challenge live on stream by the specified date and time (ET).
An objective must be achieved on stream and accepted by Lacy and Marlon as complete, regardless of any rule changes made during the challenge. An objective will not be treated as completed if they void and continue pursuing it.
Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or not completed by the specified date and time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts of Lacy and Marlon.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lacy and Marlon complete all three aforementioned objectives of the challenge live on stream by the specified date and time (ET).
An objective must be achieved on stream and accepted by Lacy and Marlon as complete, regardless of any rule changes made during the challenge. An objective will not be treated as completed if they void and continue pursuing it.
Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or not completed by the specified date and time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts of Lacy and Marlon.
Resolution Source
https://www.twitch.tv/lacyResolver
0x65070BE91...Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous single-run gauntlet on September 1, 2026, clearing Fortnite and Warzone in roughly 25 hours before entering the higher-variance Hardcore Minecraft segment. Trader consensus now assigns the strongest implied probability to completion by September 14, informed by the duo’s prior benchmarks including a four-day Minecraft marathon in 2025 and a 22-hour Chained Together run with 47 falls in 2026. The current format raises outcome variance through duo coordination demands, cumulative deaths, fatigue management, and extended stamina requirements, with resolution tied directly to official Twitch broadcasts. Limited recent Hardcore practice adds execution risk, though their established endurance supports steady progress toward mid-September resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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