The absence of Tadej Pogačar, sidelined by a Vuelta crash and season-ending injury, has opened the Grand Prix Cycliste de Montréal into a highly competitive field on its Mount Royal circuit. The 214 km hilly loop, revised to mirror the upcoming UCI Road World Championships route with repeated climbs like Camillien-Houde, rewards versatile punchers and stage-race specialists over pure sprinters. Remco Evenepoel, Isaac Del Toro, and Paul Seixas—top Tour de France finishers—along with Thomas Pidcock (recent MTB world champion) and Florian Vermeersch lead the trader consensus at 36–37.5% implied probability, reflecting strong late-season form and course fit. A broad group of contenders from 25–32%, including Wout van Aert and Jonas Vingegaard, underscores the lack of a clear favorite in this pre-Worlds test.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJonas Vingegaard 64%
Mathieu van der Poel 49%
Florian Vermeersch 38%
Remco Evenepoel 36%
Jonas Vingegaard
64%
Mathieu van der Poel
49%
Florian Vermeersch
38%
Remco Evenepoel
36%
Paul Seixas
36%
Thomas Pidcock
36%
Tadej Pogacar
29%
Wout van Aert
28%
Felix Gall
28%
Jasper Philipsen
26%
Isaac Del Toro
26%
Tobias Johannessen
26%
Lenny Martinez
26%
Mads Pedersen
26%
Laurence Pithie
26%
Christophe Laporte
26%
Jonathan Milan
26%
Richard Carapaz
26%
Luca Mozzato
26%
Sam Welsford
26%
Mauro Schmid
26%
Dylan Groenewegen
26%
Ben Tulett
26%
Mike Teunissen
26%
Finn Fisher-Black
26%
Jasper Stuyven
26%
Brady Gilmore
26%
Mattias Skjelmose
26%
Florian Lipowitz
18%
Tobias Lund Andresen
26%
Jonas Vingegaard 64%
Mathieu van der Poel 49%
Florian Vermeersch 38%
Remco Evenepoel 36%
Jonas Vingegaard
64%
Mathieu van der Poel
49%
Florian Vermeersch
38%
Remco Evenepoel
36%
Paul Seixas
36%
Thomas Pidcock
36%
Tadej Pogacar
29%
Wout van Aert
28%
Felix Gall
28%
Jasper Philipsen
26%
Isaac Del Toro
26%
Tobias Johannessen
26%
Lenny Martinez
26%
Mads Pedersen
26%
Laurence Pithie
26%
Christophe Laporte
26%
Jonathan Milan
26%
Richard Carapaz
26%
Luca Mozzato
26%
Sam Welsford
26%
Mauro Schmid
26%
Dylan Groenewegen
26%
Ben Tulett
26%
Mike Teunissen
26%
Finn Fisher-Black
26%
Jasper Stuyven
26%
Brady Gilmore
26%
Mattias Skjelmose
26%
Florian Lipowitz
18%
Tobias Lund Andresen
26%
If the 2026 Grand Prix Cycliste de Montreal is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uci.orgResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the 2026 Grand Prix Cycliste de Montreal is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the rider who is officially listed in first place in the Official Results published by the UCI / race organizer following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the official published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official UCI website (uci.org) / race organizer's official website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Resolution Source
https://www.uci.orgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The absence of Tadej Pogačar, sidelined by a Vuelta crash and season-ending injury, has opened the Grand Prix Cycliste de Montréal into a highly competitive field on its Mount Royal circuit. The 214 km hilly loop, revised to mirror the upcoming UCI Road World Championships route with repeated climbs like Camillien-Houde, rewards versatile punchers and stage-race specialists over pure sprinters. Remco Evenepoel, Isaac Del Toro, and Paul Seixas—top Tour de France finishers—along with Thomas Pidcock (recent MTB world champion) and Florian Vermeersch lead the trader consensus at 36–37.5% implied probability, reflecting strong late-season form and course fit. A broad group of contenders from 25–32%, including Wout van Aert and Jonas Vingegaard, underscores the lack of a clear favorite in this pre-Worlds test.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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