**Bank of Korea's August 27 decision to raise the base rate 25 basis points to 3.00%—its second consecutive hike—has anchored trader expectations for the November meeting around a hold or modest further tightening.** Persistent inflation, with August CPI rebounding to 3.1% year-over-year after 2.8% in July and core measures near 2.6%, continues above the 2% target amid semiconductor-driven growth now projected at 3.3% for 2026. The BOK's dot plot clusters most projections at 3.25% by year-end, reflecting concerns over demand pressures, housing stability, and currency dynamics. With the October meeting next and incoming data on prices and nominal GDP likely to shape the path, the close 53.5% no-change versus 41.5% 25 bps hike odds capture the data-dependent balance between gradual normalization and preemptive restraint.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 55%
25 bps hike 41%
25 bps cut 4.3%
50+ bps cut 1.6%
$12,714 Vol.
$12,714 Vol.
Nov 25, 2026
50+ bps cut
2%
25 bps cut
17%
No Change
55%
25 bps hike
41%
50+ bps hike
<1%
No Change 55%
25 bps hike 41%
25 bps cut 4.3%
50+ bps cut 1.6%
$12,714 Vol.
$12,714 Vol.
Nov 25, 2026
50+ bps cut
$556 Vol.
2%
25 bps cut
$388 Vol.
17%
No Change
$6,762 Vol.
55%
25 bps hike
$4,489 Vol.
41%
50+ bps hike
$520 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**Bank of Korea's August 27 decision to raise the base rate 25 basis points to 3.00%—its second consecutive hike—has anchored trader expectations for the November meeting around a hold or modest further tightening.** Persistent inflation, with August CPI rebounding to 3.1% year-over-year after 2.8% in July and core measures near 2.6%, continues above the 2% target amid semiconductor-driven growth now projected at 3.3% for 2026. The BOK's dot plot clusters most projections at 3.25% by year-end, reflecting concerns over demand pressures, housing stability, and currency dynamics. With the October meeting next and incoming data on prices and nominal GDP likely to shape the path, the close 53.5% no-change versus 41.5% 25 bps hike odds capture the data-dependent balance between gradual normalization and preemptive restraint.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Volume
$12,714End Date
Nov 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.**Bank of Korea's August 27 decision to raise the base rate 25 basis points to 3.00%—its second consecutive hike—has anchored trader expectations for the November meeting around a hold or modest further tightening.** Persistent inflation, with August CPI rebounding to 3.1% year-over-year after 2.8% in July and core measures near 2.6%, continues above the 2% target amid semiconductor-driven growth now projected at 3.3% for 2026. The BOK's dot plot clusters most projections at 3.25% by year-end, reflecting concerns over demand pressures, housing stability, and currency dynamics. With the October meeting next and incoming data on prices and nominal GDP likely to shape the path, the close 53.5% no-change versus 41.5% 25 bps hike odds capture the data-dependent balance between gradual normalization and preemptive restraint.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 26, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Volume
$12,714End Date
Nov 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Bank of Korea's August 27 decision to raise the base rate 25 basis points to 3.00%—its second consecutive hike—has anchored trader expectations for the November meeting around a hold or modest further tightening.** Persistent inflation, with August CPI rebounding to 3.1% year-over-year after 2.8% in July and core measures near 2.6%, continues above the 2% target amid semiconductor-driven growth now projected at 3.3% for 2026. The BOK's dot plot clusters most projections at 3.25% by year-end, reflecting concerns over demand pressures, housing stability, and currency dynamics. With the October meeting next and incoming data on prices and nominal GDP likely to shape the path, the close 53.5% no-change versus 41.5% 25 bps hike odds capture the data-dependent balance between gradual normalization and preemptive restraint.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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