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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Elections·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$365,543 Vol.

Apr 16, 2027
Polymarket

$365,543 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8,822 Vol.

95%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$15,009 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$7,108 Vol.

87%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$28,445 Vol.

87%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$9,511 Vol.

81%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,909 Vol.

80%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$10,655 Vol.

68%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$13,007 Vol.

57%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,635 Vol.

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$8,111 Vol.

54%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$2,127 Vol.

37%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$14,678 Vol.

29%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$13,972 Vol.

27%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10,299 Vol.

25%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$11,142 Vol.

24%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$7,282 Vol.

17%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$4,291 Vol.

13%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$27,485 Vol.

13%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$21,580 Vol.

12%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$7,210 Vol.

12%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$10,569 Vol.

10%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$1,593 Vol.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,470 Vol.

8%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$13,570 Vol.

8%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$2,820 Vol.

8%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$1,841 Vol.

7%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$1,878 Vol.

6%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$10,698 Vol.

6%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$7,167 Vol.

6%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$10,422 Vol.

6%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$8,550 Vol.

6%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,628 Vol.

6%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,047 Vol.

6%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,167 Vol.

5%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,393 Vol.

5%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$1,075 Vol.

5%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,026 Vol.

5%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,988 Vol.

5%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$3,649 Vol.

5%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$5,073 Vol.

5%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$3,957 Vol.

4%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$6,904 Vol.

4%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,534 Vol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$21,124 Vol.

3%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,346 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,776 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election, scheduled for a first round on April 18 with a potential runoff on May 2, features a crowded field shaped by Emmanuel Macron’s constitutional ineligibility for a third consecutive term. Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) leads most first-round polling at 29–35 percent following an appeals court ruling that eased her prior ineligibility, enabling her declared candidacy alongside party president Jordan Bardella as a potential alternative. Fragmentation persists on the center-right, where Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal compete for Macron-aligned voters, and on the left, where Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, and others prepare for an October 2026 primary. Bruno Retailleau represents Les Républicains, while additional declared contenders from smaller parties increase the prospect of further withdrawals before the 500-signature threshold. These dynamics position RN figures as near-certain first-round qualifiers while leaving the second candidate uncertain.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$365,543
End Date
Apr 17, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election, scheduled for a first round on April 18 with a potential runoff on May 2, features a crowded field shaped by Emmanuel Macron’s constitutional ineligibility for a third consecutive term. Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) leads most first-round polling at 29–35 percent following an appeals court ruling that eased her prior ineligibility, enabling her declared candidacy alongside party president Jordan Bardella as a potential alternative. Fragmentation persists on the center-right, where Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal compete for Macron-aligned voters, and on the left, where Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Raphaël Glucksmann, and others prepare for an October 2026 primary. Bruno Retailleau represents Les Républicains, while additional declared contenders from smaller parties increase the prospect of further withdrawals before the 500-signature threshold. These dynamics position RN figures as near-certain first-round qualifiers while leaving the second candidate uncertain.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$365,543
End Date
Apr 17, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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icon for Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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icon for Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 95%, followed by "Édouard Philippe" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" has generated $365.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Édouard Philippe" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.