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icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 26%

Coco Gauff 17.3%

Iga Swiatek 15%

Jessica Pegula 7.6%

Polymarket

$9,268,435 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 26%

Coco Gauff 17.3%

Iga Swiatek 15%

Jessica Pegula 7.6%

Polymarket

$9,268,435 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$157,237 Vol.

26%

Coco Gauff

$164,437 Vol.

17%

Iga Swiatek

$95,008 Vol.

15%

Jessica Pegula

$207,240 Vol.

8%

Elena Rybakina

$293,396 Vol.

7%

Mirra Andreeva

$159,027 Vol.

7%

Naomi Osaka

$111,129 Vol.

6%

Marta Kostyuk

$60,951 Vol.

4%

Alexandra Eala

$388,428 Vol.

3%

Linda Noskova

$90,314 Vol.

2%

Iva Jovic

$64,118 Vol.

1%

Qinwen Zheng

$346,751 Vol.

1%

Anna Kalinskaya

$62,648 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$98,344 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$100,898 Vol.

1%

Anastasia Potapova

$505,541 Vol.

1%

Sorana Cirstea

$52,713 Vol.

1%

Taylor Townsend

$64,802 Vol.

<1%

Marie Bouzkova

$95,768 Vol.

<1%

Cristina Bucsa

$0 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the top seed and two-time defending US Open champion with the strongest implied probability among traders, reflecting her unmatched hard-court major record in New York and consistent deep runs despite a 2026 form dip after the spring Sunshine Double titles. Coco Gauff sits second following her Cincinnati victory and strong recent hard-court results, leveraging her 2023 title and return-game strengths in a draw that rewards current momentum. Iga Swiatek's Toronto title and improved late-summer results support her positioning, while Jessica Pegula's high win total and Elena Rybakina's injury concerns from Cincinnati highlight the field's parity. Rising players like Mirra Andreeva add depth, underscoring how recent form, hard-court history, and fitness differentiate the leaders in this wide-open field.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,268,435
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the top seed and two-time defending US Open champion with the strongest implied probability among traders, reflecting her unmatched hard-court major record in New York and consistent deep runs despite a 2026 form dip after the spring Sunshine Double titles. Coco Gauff sits second following her Cincinnati victory and strong recent hard-court results, leveraging her 2023 title and return-game strengths in a draw that rewards current momentum. Iga Swiatek's Toronto title and improved late-summer results support her positioning, while Jessica Pegula's high win total and Elena Rybakina's injury concerns from Cincinnati highlight the field's parity. Rising players like Mirra Andreeva add depth, underscoring how recent form, hard-court history, and fitness differentiate the leaders in this wide-open field.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,268,435
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 26%, followed by "Coco Gauff" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $9.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Coco Gauff" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.