Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed with the highest implied probability, though her 2026 hard-court results show recent vulnerabilities after early-season dominance including the Sunshine Double. Coco Gauff sits second in trader consensus on the strength of her Cincinnati title and consistent deep runs, leveraging superior movement and home-crowd support at Flushing Meadows. Iga Swiatek has regained hard-court form with a Toronto victory but trails in seeding and recent major consistency. Elena Rybakina’s ankle concerns and Jessica Pegula’s steady results add depth, while younger players like Mirra Andreeva introduce variance in a field where multiple contenders maintain realistic paths through the draw.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka 27%
Coco Gauff 17.7%
Iga Swiatek 15%
Jessica Pegula 7.6%
$9,305,961 Vol.
$9,305,961 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Aryna Sabalenka
27%
Coco Gauff
18%
Iga Swiatek
15%
Jessica Pegula
8%
Elena Rybakina
7%
Mirra Andreeva
7%
Naomi Osaka
5%
Marta Kostyuk
4%
Iva Jovic
3%
Linda Noskova
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Anna Kalinskaya
1%
Emma Navarro
1%
Anastasia Potapova
1%
Sorana Cirstea
1%
Taylor Townsend
<1%
Alexandra Eala
<1%
Elise Mertens
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 27%
Coco Gauff 17.7%
Iga Swiatek 15%
Jessica Pegula 7.6%
$9,305,961 Vol.
$9,305,961 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Aryna Sabalenka
$161,054 Vol.
27%
Coco Gauff
$165,597 Vol.
18%
Iga Swiatek
$95,014 Vol.
15%
Jessica Pegula
$208,344 Vol.
8%
Elena Rybakina
$294,881 Vol.
7%
Mirra Andreeva
$159,117 Vol.
7%
Naomi Osaka
$118,165 Vol.
5%
Marta Kostyuk
$60,951 Vol.
4%
Iva Jovic
$67,685 Vol.
3%
Linda Noskova
$90,319 Vol.
2%
Qinwen Zheng
$347,777 Vol.
2%
Anna Kalinskaya
$62,672 Vol.
1%
Emma Navarro
$98,344 Vol.
1%
Anastasia Potapova
$505,541 Vol.
1%
Sorana Cirstea
$52,880 Vol.
1%
Taylor Townsend
$64,802 Vol.
<1%
Alexandra Eala
$400,416 Vol.
<1%
Elise Mertens
$106,949 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed with the highest implied probability, though her 2026 hard-court results show recent vulnerabilities after early-season dominance including the Sunshine Double. Coco Gauff sits second in trader consensus on the strength of her Cincinnati title and consistent deep runs, leveraging superior movement and home-crowd support at Flushing Meadows. Iga Swiatek has regained hard-court form with a Toronto victory but trails in seeding and recent major consistency. Elena Rybakina’s ankle concerns and Jessica Pegula’s steady results add depth, while younger players like Mirra Andreeva introduce variance in a field where multiple contenders maintain realistic paths through the draw.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Volume
$9,305,961End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed with the highest implied probability, though her 2026 hard-court results show recent vulnerabilities after early-season dominance including the Sunshine Double. Coco Gauff sits second in trader consensus on the strength of her Cincinnati title and consistent deep runs, leveraging superior movement and home-crowd support at Flushing Meadows. Iga Swiatek has regained hard-court form with a Toronto victory but trails in seeding and recent major consistency. Elena Rybakina’s ankle concerns and Jessica Pegula’s steady results add depth, while younger players like Mirra Andreeva introduce variance in a field where multiple contenders maintain realistic paths through the draw.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,305,961End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and top seed with the highest implied probability, though her 2026 hard-court results show recent vulnerabilities after early-season dominance including the Sunshine Double. Coco Gauff sits second in trader consensus on the strength of her Cincinnati title and consistent deep runs, leveraging superior movement and home-crowd support at Flushing Meadows. Iga Swiatek has regained hard-court form with a Toronto victory but trails in seeding and recent major consistency. Elena Rybakina’s ankle concerns and Jessica Pegula’s steady results add depth, while younger players like Mirra Andreeva introduce variance in a field where multiple contenders maintain realistic paths through the draw.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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