The 2026 US Open men's draw has opened considerably with world No. 1 Jannik Sinner sidelined by injury and Novak Djokovic exiting in the first round, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz has advanced steadily in his return from a wrist issue. Alexander Zverev, the top seed and recent French Open winner, maintains strong hard-court form with efficient early wins, and American Ben Shelton continues to build momentum after a solid run. Multiple third-round upsets, including Taylor Fritz's loss to Francisco Cerundolo and Flavio Cobolli's defeat, have thinned the field, leaving players like Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul with clearer paths in a bracket where recent match fitness and recovery from short turnarounds will heavily influence quarterfinal and semifinal advancement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$36,424 Vol.
Alexander Zverev
71%
Carlos Alcaraz
70%
Daniil Medvedev
39%
Learner Tien
24%
Frances Tiafoe
31%
Ben Shelton
24%
Alexander Blockx
23%
Francisco Cerundolo
11%
Tommy Paul
11%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
8%
Luciano Darderi
6%
$36,424 Vol.
Alexander Zverev
71%
Carlos Alcaraz
70%
Daniil Medvedev
39%
Learner Tien
24%
Frances Tiafoe
31%
Ben Shelton
24%
Alexander Blockx
23%
Francisco Cerundolo
11%
Tommy Paul
11%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
8%
Luciano Darderi
6%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 2026 US Open men's draw has opened considerably with world No. 1 Jannik Sinner sidelined by injury and Novak Djokovic exiting in the first round, while defending champion Carlos Alcaraz has advanced steadily in his return from a wrist issue. Alexander Zverev, the top seed and recent French Open winner, maintains strong hard-court form with efficient early wins, and American Ben Shelton continues to build momentum after a solid run. Multiple third-round upsets, including Taylor Fritz's loss to Francisco Cerundolo and Flavio Cobolli's defeat, have thinned the field, leaving players like Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul with clearer paths in a bracket where recent match fitness and recovery from short turnarounds will heavily influence quarterfinal and semifinal advancement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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