Magnus Carlsen leads trader consensus at 17.8% implied probability for the September 8 Titled Tuesday, followed by Hikaru Nakamura at 12.5%, reflecting their superior recent form and historical dominance in the weekly 5+0 blitz Swiss on Chess.com. Carlsen captured the August 4 edition outright, while Nakamura maintains elite online consistency despite fewer 2026 titles. The tightly bunched field—dozens of GMs from Aleksei Sarana and Jan-Krzysztof Duda (recent winners) through Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, and rising talents like Denis Lazavik—keeps probabilities compressed because 11-round Swiss formats reward hot streaks amid high variance, with no single player exceeding low-20s odds in a deep, titled-only field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMagnus Carlsen 17.8%
Hikaru Nakamura 13%
Brandon Jacobson 9%
Tuomas Turunen 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
Magnus Carlsen
18%
Hikaru Nakamura
13%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Aleksei Sarana
8%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
6%
Denis Lazavik
6%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Fabiano Caruana
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
4%
Wesley So
4%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Jules Moussard
4%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
4%
Alexander Grischuk
4%
Andrey Esipenko
4%
Bardiya Daneshvar
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Haowen Xue
4%
Javokhir Sindarov
4%
Matthias Bluebaum
4%
Nikolas Theodorou
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Rasmus Svane
4%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
4%
Vladislav Artemiev
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Aleksandr Shimanov
4%
Benjamin Bok
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
4%
Frederik Svane
4%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Nihal Sarin
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
Sina Movahed
4%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
4%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
3%
Alireza Firouzja
3%
Christopher Yoo
3%
Parham Maghsoodloo
3%
Awonder Liang
3%
Renato Terry Lujan
3%
Jeffery Xiong
3%
Vincent Keymer
3%
Aravindh Chithambaram
3%
David Anton
3%
Sam Sevian
3%
Sergey Sklokin
3%
Levon Aronian
3%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
3%
Faustino Oro
2%
Jose Martinez
2%
Magnus Carlsen 17.8%
Hikaru Nakamura 13%
Brandon Jacobson 9%
Tuomas Turunen 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 22, 2026
Magnus Carlsen
$1 Vol.
18%
Hikaru Nakamura
$27 Vol.
13%
Brandon Jacobson
$0 Vol.
9%
Tuomas Turunen
$0 Vol.
9%
Aleksei Sarana
$1 Vol.
8%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
$45 Vol.
6%
Denis Lazavik
$0 Vol.
6%
Arjun Erigaisi
$0 Vol.
5%
Hans Niemann
$28 Vol.
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
$0 Vol.
5%
Le Tuan Minh
$0 Vol.
5%
Rudik Makarian
$0 Vol.
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
$0 Vol.
5%
Ding Liren
$0 Vol.
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
$0 Vol.
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
$0 Vol.
5%
Wei Yi
$0 Vol.
5%
Andrew Tang
$0 Vol.
5%
Fabiano Caruana
$0 Vol.
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
$0 Vol.
4%
Wesley So
$0 Vol.
4%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
$0 Vol.
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
$0 Vol.
4%
Jules Moussard
$0 Vol.
4%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
$0 Vol.
4%
Alexander Grischuk
$0 Vol.
4%
Andrey Esipenko
$0 Vol.
4%
Bardiya Daneshvar
$0 Vol.
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
$0 Vol.
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
$0 Vol.
4%
Haowen Xue
$0 Vol.
4%
Javokhir Sindarov
$0 Vol.
4%
Matthias Bluebaum
$0 Vol.
4%
Nikolas Theodorou
$0 Vol.
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
$0 Vol.
4%
Rasmus Svane
$0 Vol.
4%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
$0 Vol.
4%
Vladislav Artemiev
$0 Vol.
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
$0 Vol.
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
$0 Vol.
4%
Aleksandr Shimanov
$0 Vol.
4%
Benjamin Bok
$0 Vol.
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
$0 Vol.
4%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
$0 Vol.
4%
Frederik Svane
$0 Vol.
4%
Haik Martirosyan
$0 Vol.
4%
Nihal Sarin
$0 Vol.
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
$0 Vol.
4%
Sina Movahed
$1 Vol.
4%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
$0 Vol.
4%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
$0 Vol.
3%
Alireza Firouzja
$0 Vol.
3%
Christopher Yoo
$0 Vol.
3%
Parham Maghsoodloo
$0 Vol.
3%
Awonder Liang
$0 Vol.
3%
Renato Terry Lujan
$0 Vol.
3%
Jeffery Xiong
$0 Vol.
3%
Vincent Keymer
$0 Vol.
3%
Aravindh Chithambaram
$0 Vol.
3%
David Anton
$0 Vol.
3%
Sam Sevian
$0 Vol.
3%
Sergey Sklokin
$0 Vol.
3%
Levon Aronian
$0 Vol.
3%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
$0 Vol.
3%
Faustino Oro
$0 Vol.
2%
Jose Martinez
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on September 8, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen leads trader consensus at 17.8% implied probability for the September 8 Titled Tuesday, followed by Hikaru Nakamura at 12.5%, reflecting their superior recent form and historical dominance in the weekly 5+0 blitz Swiss on Chess.com. Carlsen captured the August 4 edition outright, while Nakamura maintains elite online consistency despite fewer 2026 titles. The tightly bunched field—dozens of GMs from Aleksei Sarana and Jan-Krzysztof Duda (recent winners) through Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, and rising talents like Denis Lazavik—keeps probabilities compressed because 11-round Swiss formats reward hot streaks amid high variance, with no single player exceeding low-20s odds in a deep, titled-only field.
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on September 8, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Volume
$103End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on September 8, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen leads trader consensus at 17.8% implied probability for the September 8 Titled Tuesday, followed by Hikaru Nakamura at 12.5%, reflecting their superior recent form and historical dominance in the weekly 5+0 blitz Swiss on Chess.com. Carlsen captured the August 4 edition outright, while Nakamura maintains elite online consistency despite fewer 2026 titles. The tightly bunched field—dozens of GMs from Aleksei Sarana and Jan-Krzysztof Duda (recent winners) through Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, and rising talents like Denis Lazavik—keeps probabilities compressed because 11-round Swiss formats reward hot streaks amid high variance, with no single player exceeding low-20s odds in a deep, titled-only field.
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on September 8, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$103End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen leads trader consensus at 17.8% implied probability for the September 8 Titled Tuesday, followed by Hikaru Nakamura at 12.5%, reflecting their superior recent form and historical dominance in the weekly 5+0 blitz Swiss on Chess.com. Carlsen captured the August 4 edition outright, while Nakamura maintains elite online consistency despite fewer 2026 titles. The tightly bunched field—dozens of GMs from Aleksei Sarana and Jan-Krzysztof Duda (recent winners) through Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, and rising talents like Denis Lazavik—keeps probabilities compressed because 11-round Swiss formats reward hot streaks amid high variance, with no single player exceeding low-20s odds in a deep, titled-only field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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