The S&P 500 closed near 7,719 on September 4, 2026, up roughly 19% over the past year amid robust corporate earnings growth. AI-related capital spending by hyperscalers, projected to exceed $750 billion this year, has fueled double-digit profit gains and prompted multiple Wall Street firms to lift year-end targets into the 7,950–8,100 range. Recent August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate underscore labor-market resilience, while the Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.5–3.75% amid elevated inflation readings tied partly to energy prices. Traders are monitoring the September CPI release and FOMC communications for signals on rate-path adjustments, alongside any shifts in AI capex momentum or Treasury yields near 4.8% that could influence equity valuations through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$339,519 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
3%
↑ $9,000
4%
↑ $8,600
11%
↑ $8,200
32%
↑ $8,000
60%
↓ $7,400
68%
↓ $7,200
73%
↓ $7,000
36%
↓ $6,200
15%
↓ $6,000
16%
↓ $5,800
9%
↓ $5,200
7%
↓ $4,500
4%
$339,519 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,538 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,000
$78 Vol.
4%
↑ $8,600
$30,614 Vol.
11%
↑ $8,200
$23,783 Vol.
32%
↑ $8,000
$559 Vol.
60%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
68%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
73%
↓ $7,000
$343 Vol.
36%
↓ $6,200
$52,843 Vol.
15%
↓ $6,000
$2,957 Vol.
16%
↓ $5,800
$41,770 Vol.
9%
↓ $5,200
$56,898 Vol.
7%
↓ $4,500
$59,984 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed near 7,719 on September 4, 2026, up roughly 19% over the past year amid robust corporate earnings growth. AI-related capital spending by hyperscalers, projected to exceed $750 billion this year, has fueled double-digit profit gains and prompted multiple Wall Street firms to lift year-end targets into the 7,950–8,100 range. Recent August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate underscore labor-market resilience, while the Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.5–3.75% amid elevated inflation readings tied partly to energy prices. Traders are monitoring the September CPI release and FOMC communications for signals on rate-path adjustments, alongside any shifts in AI capex momentum or Treasury yields near 4.8% that could influence equity valuations through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$339,519End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed near 7,719 on September 4, 2026, up roughly 19% over the past year amid robust corporate earnings growth. AI-related capital spending by hyperscalers, projected to exceed $750 billion this year, has fueled double-digit profit gains and prompted multiple Wall Street firms to lift year-end targets into the 7,950–8,100 range. Recent August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate underscore labor-market resilience, while the Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.5–3.75% amid elevated inflation readings tied partly to energy prices. Traders are monitoring the September CPI release and FOMC communications for signals on rate-path adjustments, alongside any shifts in AI capex momentum or Treasury yields near 4.8% that could influence equity valuations through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$339,519End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed near 7,719 on September 4, 2026, up roughly 19% over the past year amid robust corporate earnings growth. AI-related capital spending by hyperscalers, projected to exceed $750 billion this year, has fueled double-digit profit gains and prompted multiple Wall Street firms to lift year-end targets into the 7,950–8,100 range. Recent August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate underscore labor-market resilience, while the Federal Reserve holds the funds rate at 3.5–3.75% amid elevated inflation readings tied partly to energy prices. Traders are monitoring the September CPI release and FOMC communications for signals on rate-path adjustments, alongside any shifts in AI capex momentum or Treasury yields near 4.8% that could influence equity valuations through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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