Strong corporate earnings momentum, fueled by AI infrastructure spending from hyperscalers, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 levels near 7,720 as of early September 2026. Year-over-year EPS growth has exceeded 20% in recent quarters, with tech capex revisions supporting analyst targets of 7,800–8,100 by year-end. The August jobs report showed 162,000 payroll gains and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, while the Fed held the federal funds target at 3.5–3.75% amid elevated inflation pressures from energy prices tied to Middle East tensions. Treasury yields, with the 10-year near 4.77%, and upcoming September CPI and FOMC decisions will influence rate expectations and risk appetite through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$339,451 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,600
11%
↑ $8,200
33%
↑ $8,000
60%
↓ $7,400
68%
↓ $7,200
73%
↓ $7,000
38%
↓ $6,200
15%
↓ $6,000
17%
↓ $5,800
9%
↓ $5,200
7%
↓ $4,500
4%
$339,451 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,538 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,000
$78 Vol.
3%
↑ $8,600
$30,614 Vol.
11%
↑ $8,200
$23,745 Vol.
33%
↑ $8,000
$559 Vol.
60%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
68%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
73%
↓ $7,000
$343 Vol.
38%
↓ $6,200
$52,813 Vol.
15%
↓ $6,000
$2,957 Vol.
17%
↓ $5,800
$41,770 Vol.
9%
↓ $5,200
$56,898 Vol.
7%
↓ $4,500
$59,984 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings momentum, fueled by AI infrastructure spending from hyperscalers, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 levels near 7,720 as of early September 2026. Year-over-year EPS growth has exceeded 20% in recent quarters, with tech capex revisions supporting analyst targets of 7,800–8,100 by year-end. The August jobs report showed 162,000 payroll gains and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, while the Fed held the federal funds target at 3.5–3.75% amid elevated inflation pressures from energy prices tied to Middle East tensions. Treasury yields, with the 10-year near 4.77%, and upcoming September CPI and FOMC decisions will influence rate expectations and risk appetite through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$339,451End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings momentum, fueled by AI infrastructure spending from hyperscalers, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 levels near 7,720 as of early September 2026. Year-over-year EPS growth has exceeded 20% in recent quarters, with tech capex revisions supporting analyst targets of 7,800–8,100 by year-end. The August jobs report showed 162,000 payroll gains and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, while the Fed held the federal funds target at 3.5–3.75% amid elevated inflation pressures from energy prices tied to Middle East tensions. Treasury yields, with the 10-year near 4.77%, and upcoming September CPI and FOMC decisions will influence rate expectations and risk appetite through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$339,451End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Strong corporate earnings momentum, fueled by AI infrastructure spending from hyperscalers, remains the dominant driver of S&P 500 levels near 7,720 as of early September 2026. Year-over-year EPS growth has exceeded 20% in recent quarters, with tech capex revisions supporting analyst targets of 7,800–8,100 by year-end. The August jobs report showed 162,000 payroll gains and a steady 4.1% unemployment rate, while the Fed held the federal funds target at 3.5–3.75% amid elevated inflation pressures from energy prices tied to Middle East tensions. Treasury yields, with the 10-year near 4.77%, and upcoming September CPI and FOMC decisions will influence rate expectations and risk appetite through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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