Opendoor (OPEN) shares trade near $3.15 following Q2 2026 results that showed revenue of $883 million (up 23% quarter-over-quarter) and contribution margin expanding 140 basis points to 5.8%, alongside management’s confirmation of a path to adjusted net income positivity by year-end on current volumes. The 70% market-implied probability for a $3.00–$4.00 close the week of September 7 reflects this operational stabilization and a 5% share repurchase, offset by persistent housing-market headwinds including mid-6% mortgage rates and year-to-date share-price declines exceeding 45%. Recent launch of integrated mortgage products and Q3 guidance for at least 20% year-over-year revenue growth provide near-term support, while elevated beta exposure to broader equity sentiment and seasonal housing trends keep the range-bound outcome as the dominant trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$3.00-$4.00 70%
$2.00-$3.00 25%
$6.00-$7.00 14%
$4.00-$5.00 12%
<$1.00
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
12%
$2.00-$3.00
25%
$3.00-$4.00
70%
$4.00-$5.00
12%
$5.00-$6.00
12%
$6.00-$7.00
14%
$7.00-$8.00
<1%
$8.00-$9.00
1%
$9.00-$10
1%
>$10
<1%
$3.00-$4.00 70%
$2.00-$3.00 25%
$6.00-$7.00 14%
$4.00-$5.00 12%
<$1.00
<1%
$1.00-$2.00
12%
$2.00-$3.00
25%
$3.00-$4.00
70%
$4.00-$5.00
12%
$5.00-$6.00
12%
$6.00-$7.00
14%
$7.00-$8.00
<1%
$8.00-$9.00
1%
$9.00-$10
1%
>$10
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Opendoor (OPEN) shares trade near $3.15 following Q2 2026 results that showed revenue of $883 million (up 23% quarter-over-quarter) and contribution margin expanding 140 basis points to 5.8%, alongside management’s confirmation of a path to adjusted net income positivity by year-end on current volumes. The 70% market-implied probability for a $3.00–$4.00 close the week of September 7 reflects this operational stabilization and a 5% share repurchase, offset by persistent housing-market headwinds including mid-6% mortgage rates and year-to-date share-price declines exceeding 45%. Recent launch of integrated mortgage products and Q3 guidance for at least 20% year-over-year revenue growth provide near-term support, while elevated beta exposure to broader equity sentiment and seasonal housing trends keep the range-bound outcome as the dominant trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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