Iowa State enters the 2026 season under first-year head coach Jimmy Rogers following Matt Campbell’s departure to Penn State, which triggered an unprecedented roster reset. The Cyclones return zero starters on either side of the ball after nearly every eligible veteran entered the portal, forcing reliance on transfers from lower conferences and a handful of holdovers. They opened with a decisive 38-10 win over FCS Southeast Missouri but face an immediate test at rival Iowa in the Cy-Hawk game. The remaining schedule features a demanding Big 12 slate headlined by home matchups against Utah and West Virginia plus road games at BYU, Arizona, Baylor, and UCF. Trader consensus around a 4.5-win total reflects the limited track record for the new regime and roster in Power conference play.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.5+ Wins
80%
3.5+ Wins
69%
4.5+ Wins
56%
5.5+ Wins
37%
6.5+ Wins
27%
$935 Vol.
2.5+ Wins
80%
3.5+ Wins
69%
4.5+ Wins
56%
5.5+ Wins
37%
6.5+ Wins
27%
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iowa State enters the 2026 season under first-year head coach Jimmy Rogers following Matt Campbell’s departure to Penn State, which triggered an unprecedented roster reset. The Cyclones return zero starters on either side of the ball after nearly every eligible veteran entered the portal, forcing reliance on transfers from lower conferences and a handful of holdovers. They opened with a decisive 38-10 win over FCS Southeast Missouri but face an immediate test at rival Iowa in the Cy-Hawk game. The remaining schedule features a demanding Big 12 slate headlined by home matchups against Utah and West Virginia plus road games at BYU, Arizona, Baylor, and UCF. Trader consensus around a 4.5-win total reflects the limited track record for the new regime and roster in Power conference play.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions