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Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

icon for MLS Cup Winner 2026
Sports·Soccer

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Inter Miami CF 22%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 18.7%

Nashville SC 17.5%

Los Angeles FC 8%

Polymarket

$19,835,601 Vol.

Inter Miami CF 22%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 18.7%

Nashville SC 17.5%

Los Angeles FC 8%

Polymarket

$19,835,601 Vol.

Inter Miami CF

$105,772 Vol.

22%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

$395,727 Vol.

19%

Nashville SC

$326,470 Vol.

18%

Los Angeles FC

$50,986 Vol.

8%

Chicago Fire FC

$252,811 Vol.

7%

Houston Dynamo FC

$485,023 Vol.

6%

FC Dallas

$97,006 Vol.

4%

FC Cincinnati

$1,586,411 Vol.

4%

St. Louis City SC

$96,877 Vol.

4%

Charlotte FC

$2,031,242 Vol.

2%

Seattle Sounders FC

$867,665 Vol.

2%

New England Revolution

$64,261 Vol.

2%

New York City FC

$699,386 Vol.

2%

New York Red Bulls

$611,036 Vol.

2%

Real Salt Lake

$2,948,659 Vol.

2%

Orlando City SC

$2,364,461 Vol.

1%

San Jose Earthquakes

$1,168,835 Vol.

1%

San Diego FC

$1,223,616 Vol.

1%

Colorado Rapids

$140,740 Vol.

1%

Columbus Crew

$3,113,851 Vol.

1%

Philadelphia Union

$222,540 Vol.

1%

Minnesota United FC

$480,310 Vol.

1%

LA Galaxy

$24,713 Vol.

<1%

Portland Timbers

$104,947 Vol.

<1%

Toronto FC

$38,302 Vol.

<1%

D.C. United

$19,275 Vol.

<1%

Atlanta United FC

$102,636 Vol.

<1%

Austin FC

$80,416 Vol.

<1%

CF Montréal

$62,884 Vol.

<1%

Sporting Kansas City

$68,741 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nashville SC, Vancouver Whitecaps FC, and Inter Miami CF anchor the tight 2026 MLS Cup market due to their dominant regular-season form, with Nashville atop the Eastern Conference on superior goal differential and points while Vancouver leads the West behind an elite defense. Inter Miami's star attacking output and playoff pedigree sustain its slight edge in trader consensus despite recent mixed results. The bunched probabilities reflect MLS parity, where Supporters' Shield contention, conference balance, and home-field advantages in the postseason create multiple realistic paths to the title for these clubs and a handful of challengers like LAFC and Chicago Fire. Late-season fixture congestion and potential roster adjustments could still shift implied probabilities before the December final.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,835,601
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nashville SC, Vancouver Whitecaps FC, and Inter Miami CF anchor the tight 2026 MLS Cup market due to their dominant regular-season form, with Nashville atop the Eastern Conference on superior goal differential and points while Vancouver leads the West behind an elite defense. Inter Miami's star attacking output and playoff pedigree sustain its slight edge in trader consensus despite recent mixed results. The bunched probabilities reflect MLS parity, where Supporters' Shield contention, conference balance, and home-field advantages in the postseason create multiple realistic paths to the title for these clubs and a handful of challengers like LAFC and Chicago Fire. Late-season fixture congestion and potential roster adjustments could still shift implied probabilities before the December final.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,835,601
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS Cup Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Inter Miami CF" at 22%, followed by "Vancouver Whitecaps FC" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 22¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS Cup Winner 2026" has generated $19.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS Cup Winner 2026," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" is "Inter Miami CF" at 22%, meaning the market assigns a 22% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vancouver Whitecaps FC" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS Cup Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.