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icon for MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

icon for MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

Pete Crow-Armstrong 86.5%

Shohei Ohtani 8%

Kyle Schwarber 2.6%

Ketel Marte <1%

Polymarket

$166,999 Vol.

Pete Crow-Armstrong 86.5%

Shohei Ohtani 8%

Kyle Schwarber 2.6%

Ketel Marte <1%

Polymarket

$166,999 Vol.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$13,326 Vol.

86%

Shohei Ohtani

$15,206 Vol.

8%

Kyle Schwarber

$95,680 Vol.

3%

Ketel Marte

$612 Vol.

1%

Juan Soto

$36,192 Vol.

1%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$639 Vol.

1%

Francisco Lindor

$1,622 Vol.

<1%

Bryce Harper

$1,834 Vol.

<1%

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$1,374 Vol.

<1%

Mookie Betts

$514 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong’s dominant 2026 campaign with the Cubs has shaped trader consensus for the NL Hank Aaron Award, as the center fielder leads or ranks near the top of key offensive categories with a .280/.375/.568 slash line, 39 home runs, 93-plus RBI, 33 stolen bases and an OPS near .945 through early September. Multiple National League Player of the Month honors, a cycle and 30-30 production have reinforced his edge in power, extra-base hits and overall impact. Shohei Ohtani remains the clearest alternative through strong Dodgers hitting, yet trails substantially in implied probability. Late-season injuries, a historic surge by another power hitter such as Kyle Schwarber or shifts in final voting emphasis on traditional counting stats could still alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$166,999
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong’s dominant 2026 campaign with the Cubs has shaped trader consensus for the NL Hank Aaron Award, as the center fielder leads or ranks near the top of key offensive categories with a .280/.375/.568 slash line, 39 home runs, 93-plus RBI, 33 stolen bases and an OPS near .945 through early September. Multiple National League Player of the Month honors, a cycle and 30-30 production have reinforced his edge in power, extra-base hits and overall impact. Shohei Ohtani remains the clearest alternative through strong Dodgers hitting, yet trails substantially in implied probability. Late-season injuries, a historic surge by another power hitter such as Kyle Schwarber or shifts in final voting emphasis on traditional counting stats could still alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$166,999
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 86%, followed by "Shohei Ohtani" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" has generated $167K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.