**Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and Aldosivi sit at the bottom of both the 2026 aggregate table and the three-season promedios, making them the clearest candidates for the two relegations to Primera Nacional.** The aggregate table (after roughly 24 matches) shows Estudiantes RC with just 11 points and a -25 goal difference, while Aldosivi has 13 points; both trail the rest of the pack significantly. Promedios, which incorporate 2024–2026 results and heavily penalize recently promoted sides, place Estudiantes RC near 0.3–0.5 and Aldosivi around 0.82–0.85, well below the next-worst teams. The ongoing Clausura, split into groups, still has many rounds left that will directly feed both tables, while recent coaching changes at several mid-to-lower clubs add uncertainty to form. Trader consensus reflects these standings and the structural disadvantage for the bottom two promoted sides.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDeportivo Riestra
50%
Estudiantes (LP)
50%
Gimnasia y Esgrima (LP)
50%
Gimnasia y Esgrima (M)
50%
Huracán
50%
Platense
50%
Aldosivi
50%
Argentinos Juniors
50%
Atlético Tucumán
50%
Banfield
50%
Barracas Central
50%
Belgrano
50%
Boca Juniors
50%
Central Córdoba (SdE)
50%
Defensa y Justicia
50%
Estudiantes (RC)
50%
Independiente
50%
Independiente Rivadavia
50%
Instituto
50%
Lanús
50%
Newell's Old Boys
50%
Racing
50%
River Plate
50%
Rosario Central
50%
San Lorenzo
50%
Sarmiento (J)
50%
Talleres (C)
50%
Tigre
50%
Unión
50%
Vélez Sarsfield
50%
$0.00 Vol.
Deportivo Riestra
50%
Estudiantes (LP)
50%
Gimnasia y Esgrima (LP)
50%
Gimnasia y Esgrima (M)
50%
Huracán
50%
Platense
50%
Aldosivi
50%
Argentinos Juniors
50%
Atlético Tucumán
50%
Banfield
50%
Barracas Central
50%
Belgrano
50%
Boca Juniors
50%
Central Córdoba (SdE)
50%
Defensa y Justicia
50%
Estudiantes (RC)
50%
Independiente
50%
Independiente Rivadavia
50%
Instituto
50%
Lanús
50%
Newell's Old Boys
50%
Racing
50%
River Plate
50%
Rosario Central
50%
San Lorenzo
50%
Sarmiento (J)
50%
Talleres (C)
50%
Tigre
50%
Unión
50%
Vélez Sarsfield
50%
Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Liga Profesional (Argentina).
If the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Liga Profesional (Argentina). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Liga Profesional (Argentina) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Liga Profesional (Argentina).
If the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina) season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Liga Profesional (Argentina). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Estudiantes de Río Cuarto and Aldosivi sit at the bottom of both the 2026 aggregate table and the three-season promedios, making them the clearest candidates for the two relegations to Primera Nacional.** The aggregate table (after roughly 24 matches) shows Estudiantes RC with just 11 points and a -25 goal difference, while Aldosivi has 13 points; both trail the rest of the pack significantly. Promedios, which incorporate 2024–2026 results and heavily penalize recently promoted sides, place Estudiantes RC near 0.3–0.5 and Aldosivi around 0.82–0.85, well below the next-worst teams. The ongoing Clausura, split into groups, still has many rounds left that will directly feed both tables, while recent coaching changes at several mid-to-lower clubs add uncertainty to form. Trader consensus reflects these standings and the structural disadvantage for the bottom two promoted sides.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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