**Independiente Medellín leads the market at 49.5% implied probability for finishing 18th in the 2026 reclasificación (three-year points average table), ahead of a cluster of clubs at 41%.** Their strong Clausura results, including recent wins over Deportivo Pereira and others, are steadily lifting their 2026 contribution to the promedio and positioning them as the most likely team to occupy the final safe spot above the relegation zone. Relegation is determined solely by the lowest averages across the all-against-all phases of 2024–2026, with the bottom two dropping to Primera B. Several clubs, including newly promoted sides like Jaguares de Córdoba and Cúcuta Deportivo plus Boyacá Chicó, Alianza Valledupar, and Deportivo Pereira, sit in the danger area with lower historical averages; their inconsistent recent form keeps the probabilities tightly grouped as traders weigh incremental points gains through the remainder of the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDeportes Tolima 49%
Independiente Santa Fe 49%
Junior 49%
Llaneros FC 49%
Deportes Tolima
49%
Independiente Santa Fe
49%
Junior
49%
Llaneros FC
49%
Alianza Valledupar
49%
Atlético Nacional
49%
Deportivo Cali
49%
Deportivo Pasto
49%
Once Caldas
49%
Internacional de Bogotá
49%
Jaguares
49%
Fortaleza CEIF
49%
América de Cali
49%
Atlético Bucaramanga
49%
Independiente Medellín
49%
Deportivo Pereira
49%
Boyacá Chicó
49%
Cúcuta Deportivo
49%
Millonarios FC
48%
Águilas Doradas
42%
Deportes Tolima 49%
Independiente Santa Fe 49%
Junior 49%
Llaneros FC 49%
Deportes Tolima
49%
Independiente Santa Fe
49%
Junior
49%
Llaneros FC
49%
Alianza Valledupar
49%
Atlético Nacional
49%
Deportivo Cali
49%
Deportivo Pasto
49%
Once Caldas
49%
Internacional de Bogotá
49%
Jaguares
49%
Fortaleza CEIF
49%
América de Cali
49%
Atlético Bucaramanga
49%
Independiente Medellín
49%
Deportivo Pereira
49%
Boyacá Chicó
49%
Cúcuta Deportivo
49%
Millonarios FC
48%
Águilas Doradas
42%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 18th in the 2026 Colombia Primera A, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Colombia Primera A season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 18th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Colombia Primera A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 18th in the 2026 Colombia Primera A, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 Colombia Primera A season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 18th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Colombia Primera A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Independiente Medellín leads the market at 49.5% implied probability for finishing 18th in the 2026 reclasificación (three-year points average table), ahead of a cluster of clubs at 41%.** Their strong Clausura results, including recent wins over Deportivo Pereira and others, are steadily lifting their 2026 contribution to the promedio and positioning them as the most likely team to occupy the final safe spot above the relegation zone. Relegation is determined solely by the lowest averages across the all-against-all phases of 2024–2026, with the bottom two dropping to Primera B. Several clubs, including newly promoted sides like Jaguares de Córdoba and Cúcuta Deportivo plus Boyacá Chicó, Alianza Valledupar, and Deportivo Pereira, sit in the danger area with lower historical averages; their inconsistent recent form keeps the probabilities tightly grouped as traders weigh incremental points gains through the remainder of the season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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