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Sports·Games

Italy vs. USA

icon for Italy vs. USA
Sports·Games

Italy vs. USA

Germany vs. Japan

France vs. South Korea

Turkiye vs. Australia

China vs. Czechia

Germany vs. Japan

France vs. South Korea

Turkiye vs. Australia

China vs. Czechia

Italy

2% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Italy

2% chance
Polymarket
NEW
In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 6 at 2:45PM ET: If the Italy win, the market will resolve to "Italy". If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.USA's overwhelming talent depth and historical dominance in Olympic ice hockey drive the 98.4% implied probability for victory against Italy in this quarterfinal matchup. The Americans enter with superior roster experience, higher skating speed, and proven offensive firepower, while Italy, despite home-ice advantage in Milan, fields a significantly less experienced squad with limited NHL representation and weaker recent international results. Trader consensus reflects these structural gaps rather than any single recent result. Realistic variables that could shift outcomes remain narrow and include key U.S. injuries, an extraordinary goaltending performance by the Italian netminder, or atypical penalty trouble that disrupts American power-play efficiency.

In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 6 at 2:45PM ET:
If the Italy win, the market will resolve to "Italy".
If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 6 at 2:45PM ET: If the Italy win, the market will resolve to "Italy". If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Volume
$5,885
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 10:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fiba.basketball/en/events/fiba-womens-basketball-world-cup-2026

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 6 at 2:45PM ET: If the Italy win, the market will resolve to "Italy". If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.USA's overwhelming talent depth and historical dominance in Olympic ice hockey drive the 98.4% implied probability for victory against Italy in this quarterfinal matchup. The Americans enter with superior roster experience, higher skating speed, and proven offensive firepower, while Italy, despite home-ice advantage in Milan, fields a significantly less experienced squad with limited NHL representation and weaker recent international results. Trader consensus reflects these structural gaps rather than any single recent result. Realistic variables that could shift outcomes remain narrow and include key U.S. injuries, an extraordinary goaltending performance by the Italian netminder, or atypical penalty trouble that disrupts American power-play efficiency.

In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 6 at 2:45PM ET:
If the Italy win, the market will resolve to "Italy".
If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.In the upcoming FIBA Women's World Cup game, scheduled for September 6 at 2:45PM ET: If the Italy win, the market will resolve to "Italy". If the USA win, the market will resolve to "USA". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Volume
$5,885
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 10:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.fiba.basketball/en/events/fiba-womens-basketball-world-cup-2026

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Italy vs. USA" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Italy vs. USA" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Italy vs. USA" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Italy vs. USA," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Italy vs. USA" is "Italy vs. USA" at just 2%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Italy vs. USA" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.