Recent low inflation at 1.5% and a strong shekel prompted the Bank of Israel to cut its benchmark rate for the third straight meeting to 3.25% on September 1, yet the Monetary Committee emphasized data dependence amid moderating domestic activity, slight unemployment upticks, and persistent geopolitical and fiscal uncertainties ahead of late-October elections. With inflation expectations anchored near the target midpoint and the central bank’s latest forecasts pointing to gradual further easing only if price pressures stay subdued, traders assign an 80% implied probability to no change at the October 21 decision. A further reduction remains possible on continued shekel appreciation or soft data, while an increase appears remote given the current inflation environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 80%
Decrease 21%
Increase <1%
$10,226 Vol.
$10,226 Vol.
Decrease
21%
No Change
80%
Increase
1%
No Change 80%
Decrease 21%
Increase <1%
$10,226 Vol.
$10,226 Vol.
Decrease
21%
No Change
80%
Increase
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its October 21, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2026/
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their October 21, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its October 21, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2026/
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their October 21, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent low inflation at 1.5% and a strong shekel prompted the Bank of Israel to cut its benchmark rate for the third straight meeting to 3.25% on September 1, yet the Monetary Committee emphasized data dependence amid moderating domestic activity, slight unemployment upticks, and persistent geopolitical and fiscal uncertainties ahead of late-October elections. With inflation expectations anchored near the target midpoint and the central bank’s latest forecasts pointing to gradual further easing only if price pressures stay subdued, traders assign an 80% implied probability to no change at the October 21 decision. A further reduction remains possible on continued shekel appreciation or soft data, while an increase appears remote given the current inflation environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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