The 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section in Samarkand features a Swiss-system format over 11 rounds with a deep field of 205 teams, where average ratings separate the top contenders by just 20–50 Elo points. The United States enters as top seed with Caruana, So, Niemann, Aronian, and Liang, while defending champion India fields Gukesh, Arjun Erigaisi, Praggnanandhaa, Nihal Sarin, and Vidit. Host Uzbekistan benefits from home support and a lineup anchored by Abdusattorov and Sindarov, placing it within striking distance on paper. China, Germany, and several others remain viable due to the format’s emphasis on consistent match results rather than single-board dominance. Recent lineup confirmations and minimal rating gaps sustain the bunched market pricing among the leading nations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIndia 28%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 23%
China 9%
$15,225 Vol.
$15,225 Vol.
India
28%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
23%
China
9%
Germany
5%
Armenia
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Turkiye
3%
Ukraine
2%
France
2%
Hungary
2%
Poland
2%
Spain
2%
England
2%
Georgia
1%
Netherlands
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Iran
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Vietnam
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
India 28%
United States of America 25%
Uzbekistan 23%
China 9%
$15,225 Vol.
$15,225 Vol.
India
28%
United States of America
25%
Uzbekistan
23%
China
9%
Germany
5%
Armenia
4%
Azerbaijan
4%
Turkiye
3%
Ukraine
2%
France
2%
Hungary
2%
Poland
2%
Spain
2%
England
2%
Georgia
1%
Netherlands
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Norway
1%
Turkmenistan
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Iran
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Vietnam
<1%
Argentina
<1%
Austria
<1%
Brazil
<1%
Canada
<1%
Chile
<1%
Colombia
<1%
Croatia
<1%
Czech Republic
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Greece
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Moldova
<1%
Mexico
<1%
Romania
<1%
Slovenia
<1%
If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open section in Samarkand features a Swiss-system format over 11 rounds with a deep field of 205 teams, where average ratings separate the top contenders by just 20–50 Elo points. The United States enters as top seed with Caruana, So, Niemann, Aronian, and Liang, while defending champion India fields Gukesh, Arjun Erigaisi, Praggnanandhaa, Nihal Sarin, and Vidit. Host Uzbekistan benefits from home support and a lineup anchored by Abdusattorov and Sindarov, placing it within striking distance on paper. China, Germany, and several others remain viable due to the format’s emphasis on consistent match results rather than single-board dominance. Recent lineup confirmations and minimal rating gaps sustain the bunched market pricing among the leading nations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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