Kimi Antonelli holds a commanding lead in the 2026 drivers’ championship on 242 points after 13 rounds, fueled by five to seven victories, multiple poles, and strong consistency for Mercedes despite occasional reliability issues like his Barcelona DNF. His teammate George Russell sits second on 183 points with two wins, while Lewis Hamilton and Lando Norris trail on 183 and 159 points respectively amid Ferrari and McLaren challenges. Recent Norris victories in Hungary and the Netherlands have trimmed the gap slightly, yet Antonelli’s early-season dominance and Mercedes’ constructors’ advantage underpin the market’s heavy favoritism toward the Italian rookie, with remaining rounds offering limited realistic paths for catch-up.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 69.5%
George Russell 10.3%
Lando Norris 8.3%
Lewis Hamilton 6.5%
$202,230,436 Vol.
$202,230,436 Vol.
Dec 5, 2026
Kimi Antonelli
69%
George Russell
10%
Lando Norris
8%
Lewis Hamilton
6%
Charles Leclerc
2%
Max Verstappen
1%
Oscar Piastri
<1%
Fernando Alonso
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
<1%
Pierre Gasly
<1%
Liam Lawson
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
<1%
Isack Hadjar
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Oliver Bearman
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 69.5%
George Russell 10.3%
Lando Norris 8.3%
Lewis Hamilton 6.5%
$202,230,436 Vol.
$202,230,436 Vol.
Dec 5, 2026
Kimi Antonelli
$4,130,064 Vol.
69%
George Russell
$2,700,231 Vol.
10%
Lando Norris
$6,771,161 Vol.
8%
Lewis Hamilton
$5,310,345 Vol.
6%
Charles Leclerc
$5,266,393 Vol.
2%
Max Verstappen
$6,104,617 Vol.
1%
Oscar Piastri
$6,416,134 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Alonso
$9,138,403 Vol.
<1%
Esteban Ocon
$9,512,180 Vol.
<1%
Nico Hülkenberg
$8,469,820 Vol.
<1%
Pierre Gasly
$11,510,403 Vol.
<1%
Liam Lawson
$10,719,221 Vol.
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
$12,049,145 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
$11,097,657 Vol.
<1%
Sergio Pérez
$11,796,680 Vol.
<1%
Isack Hadjar
$9,373,109 Vol.
<1%
Lance Stroll
$11,739,268 Vol.
<1%
Oliver Bearman
$12,897,812 Vol.
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
$10,925,704 Vol.
<1%
Franco Colapinto
$12,224,742 Vol.
<1%
Alexander Albon
$11,874,881 Vol.
<1%
Valtteri Bottas
$12,202,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli holds a commanding lead in the 2026 drivers’ championship on 242 points after 13 rounds, fueled by five to seven victories, multiple poles, and strong consistency for Mercedes despite occasional reliability issues like his Barcelona DNF. His teammate George Russell sits second on 183 points with two wins, while Lewis Hamilton and Lando Norris trail on 183 and 159 points respectively amid Ferrari and McLaren challenges. Recent Norris victories in Hungary and the Netherlands have trimmed the gap slightly, yet Antonelli’s early-season dominance and Mercedes’ constructors’ advantage underpin the market’s heavy favoritism toward the Italian rookie, with remaining rounds offering limited realistic paths for catch-up.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$202,230,436End Date
Dec 6, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli holds a commanding lead in the 2026 drivers’ championship on 242 points after 13 rounds, fueled by five to seven victories, multiple poles, and strong consistency for Mercedes despite occasional reliability issues like his Barcelona DNF. His teammate George Russell sits second on 183 points with two wins, while Lewis Hamilton and Lando Norris trail on 183 and 159 points respectively amid Ferrari and McLaren challenges. Recent Norris victories in Hungary and the Netherlands have trimmed the gap slightly, yet Antonelli’s early-season dominance and Mercedes’ constructors’ advantage underpin the market’s heavy favoritism toward the Italian rookie, with remaining rounds offering limited realistic paths for catch-up.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$202,230,436End Date
Dec 6, 2026Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kimi Antonelli holds a commanding lead in the 2026 drivers’ championship on 242 points after 13 rounds, fueled by five to seven victories, multiple poles, and strong consistency for Mercedes despite occasional reliability issues like his Barcelona DNF. His teammate George Russell sits second on 183 points with two wins, while Lewis Hamilton and Lando Norris trail on 183 and 159 points respectively amid Ferrari and McLaren challenges. Recent Norris victories in Hungary and the Netherlands have trimmed the gap slightly, yet Antonelli’s early-season dominance and Mercedes’ constructors’ advantage underpin the market’s heavy favoritism toward the Italian rookie, with remaining rounds offering limited realistic paths for catch-up.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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